10.43 Monmouth Park
Izod Haskell Invitational (Grade 1) (3YO only)
Winner $688,301
Pick: Lookin At Lucky (win)
Lookin At Lucky: Super talented horse as has been shown by his 4-5 record as a 2 year old but has met with trouble on four of his next 5 starts since, notably when sent off favourite for the Kentucky Derby, only to lose his chance when squeezed up against the rail, having started from the unfavourable inside stall; Showed what a class horse he is when cards fall right in Preakness last time and faces similar test here, so will be tough to beat.
Afleet Alex: Favourably treated by weights when winning Withers Stakes and ran respectable race when tables were turned in Spend A Buck Stakes and Pegasus Stakes last twice; Back on more level terms, but this is ten times harder than any of those races mentioned above.
Ice Box: Already proven in Grade 1 company, having won the Florida Derby and was making major ground at end of Kentucky Derby, having met with major interference beforehand, screaming that he was a 12 furlong horse; Ran an absolute stinker in Belmont last time and this is no easier, so hard to be confident about dropped straight back in it.
First Dude: Probably better than he showed when fifth in the Florida Derby and was only 1l behind Paddy O´Prado in the Blue Grass on synthetics; Continued improvement when setting a hot pace and still lasting out front in the Preakness, only to be beaten by Lookin At Lucky; Did his usual thing again when leading until last 110yds in Belmont and while drop in trip should help, one wonders when this will catch up with him.
Our Dark Knight: A three-length allowance winner at Monmouth June 19 making his stakes debut here, but shouldn’t be underestimated coming from Zito yard (which has useful yardsticks at this level); Nevertheless, this looks like a quality renewal and he will be hard pushed to make his mark.
Super Saver: Although a fine ride and sloppy track (combined with dream run inside the rail) helped him a lot when winning the Kentucky Derby, he still showed himself to be a rapidly improving colt and won with plenty in hand; Disappointing when bombing in the Preakness but only having 2 weeks between races (connections worried beforehand) plausible excuse and chasing extremely hot pace cannot have helped; Has a 78 day break to freshen him up, and almost surely going to take a big hand here if back to best.
Uptowncharlybrown: Although he has struggled since going up in grade, he ran respectably when third in Lexington Stakes; Lot changed since then (new trainer in Kieran McLaughlin and they have taken the blinkers off) but still has to improve on fifth in Belmont last time needs way more than just that and clear second string for McLaughlin yard.
Trappe Shot: The improving buzz horse coming into this race, undefeated in four starts this season for Kieran McLaughlin; overcame a poor start to win the Long Branch Stakes by 2 1/2 lengths on July 10 at Monmouth in his stakes debut and his first try at two turns and must be respected coming here.
VERDICT: A quality field with 4 proven Grade 1 horses all going for the win here, and another who is untested at this level. Super Saver will take some beating if back to his Derby winning best, even though everything fell for him that day. Ice Box is less easy to forgive after his terrible run last time in the Belmont, but if he was right he’d be right there. He wants them to go like scalded cats though, and First Dude comes into the picture on that note. He should be right there, and did his usual thing again when leading until last 110yds in Belmont and while the drop in trip should help, one wonders when this will catch up with him. Trappe shot is the improving buzz horse coming into this race, undefeated in four starts this season for Kieran McLaughlin. Overcame a poor start to win the Long Branch Stakes by 2 1/2 lengths on July 10 at Monmouth in his stakes debut and his first try at two turns and must be respected coming here. The last main contender is the best in my mind here though. LOOKIN AT LUCKY has always exuded class and deserved nothing more than his gutsy success in the Preakness last time. This is harder and his draw doesn’t help but he’s well up to the task here and is very fairly.
Saturday, 31 July 2010
Prix D'Astarte / Prix Rothschild (ex d'Astarté)
2.40 Deauville
Prix D'Astarte (Fillies Group 1) (3YO plus)
Winner €206,491
Elusive Wave: Ran a good second to Goldikova in this last year (after having taken the French 1,000 Guineas, and coming fourth in the Coronation Stakes; got blocked) ; Has proved disappointing since refusing to race in the Prix Du Moulin and needs a lot more.
Fabiana: Only just got beaten by Penny’s Gift in the German 1,000 Guineas last year but didn’t really go on from that, and hasn’t won since; All those runs in lower company and will do well to get seriously involved.
Goldikova: Nine time Group 1 winner who had arguably her best season ever last summer, winning the Falmouth before going on to trash high class fields, (including this race last year) before romping the Prix Jacques Le Marois, putting up 2 of the best milling performances seen in years in process; Impressive on her reappearance run in Prix D'Ishphan, and even better when beating off numerous high class sorts in the Queen Anne last time; This field contains nothing of that class and would be shock if she was beaten.
Only Green: Actually holds some pretty high class form in her own right (came fifth in the Breeder’s Cup filly and mare sprint last November) but not likely to cut much ice as likely pacemaker for Goldikova.
Music Show: Was very progressive as a 2 year old, winning 3 out of her four starts including the Rockfel Stakes and confirmed that promise when giving weight and a beating to Blue Maiden in the Nell Gwyn on reappearance; Was desperately unlucky to finish sixth in the 1,000 Guineas at Newmarket considering that she fairly thrashed her side, came too late in the Irish 1,000 Guineas, was stuck out wide at Ascot and then won the Falmouth in great style; With that deserved Group 1 win under her belt can make mark here.
Rainfall: Has improved markedly with every single run, romping home on debut before coming close second in Haydock listed race; Then stepped up on that to land Jersey Stakes and was making late headway in Falmouth Stakes last time; Foolish to assume that is height of her ability but this is a tough spot.
Evading Tempete: Ahead of Special Duty when second in very strong Prix Imprudence and followed that with win in Italian 1,000 Guineas; Only fifth in Coronation, a formline which gives her a lot to do to make a mark here.
Evaporation: Actually pushed Joanna all the way when second 2 starts ago and won when favourite in listed company last time out; Not totally out of it although she will need to find more on many formlines.
VERDICT: Another good renewal with 3 Group 1 winners in attendance, and 2 high class British 3 year olds coming. They will all have to go some to beat GOLDIKOVA, who was brilliant when landing The Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot and will be nearly impossible to beat here.
Prix D'Astarte (Fillies Group 1) (3YO plus)
Winner €206,491
Elusive Wave: Ran a good second to Goldikova in this last year (after having taken the French 1,000 Guineas, and coming fourth in the Coronation Stakes; got blocked) ; Has proved disappointing since refusing to race in the Prix Du Moulin and needs a lot more.
Fabiana: Only just got beaten by Penny’s Gift in the German 1,000 Guineas last year but didn’t really go on from that, and hasn’t won since; All those runs in lower company and will do well to get seriously involved.
Goldikova: Nine time Group 1 winner who had arguably her best season ever last summer, winning the Falmouth before going on to trash high class fields, (including this race last year) before romping the Prix Jacques Le Marois, putting up 2 of the best milling performances seen in years in process; Impressive on her reappearance run in Prix D'Ishphan, and even better when beating off numerous high class sorts in the Queen Anne last time; This field contains nothing of that class and would be shock if she was beaten.
Only Green: Actually holds some pretty high class form in her own right (came fifth in the Breeder’s Cup filly and mare sprint last November) but not likely to cut much ice as likely pacemaker for Goldikova.
Music Show: Was very progressive as a 2 year old, winning 3 out of her four starts including the Rockfel Stakes and confirmed that promise when giving weight and a beating to Blue Maiden in the Nell Gwyn on reappearance; Was desperately unlucky to finish sixth in the 1,000 Guineas at Newmarket considering that she fairly thrashed her side, came too late in the Irish 1,000 Guineas, was stuck out wide at Ascot and then won the Falmouth in great style; With that deserved Group 1 win under her belt can make mark here.
Rainfall: Has improved markedly with every single run, romping home on debut before coming close second in Haydock listed race; Then stepped up on that to land Jersey Stakes and was making late headway in Falmouth Stakes last time; Foolish to assume that is height of her ability but this is a tough spot.
Evading Tempete: Ahead of Special Duty when second in very strong Prix Imprudence and followed that with win in Italian 1,000 Guineas; Only fifth in Coronation, a formline which gives her a lot to do to make a mark here.
Evaporation: Actually pushed Joanna all the way when second 2 starts ago and won when favourite in listed company last time out; Not totally out of it although she will need to find more on many formlines.
VERDICT: Another good renewal with 3 Group 1 winners in attendance, and 2 high class British 3 year olds coming. They will all have to go some to beat GOLDIKOVA, who was brilliant when landing The Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot and will be nearly impossible to beat here.
Galway Races Day 7
Galway Bay FM Beginners Chase (4YO plus) (2.25) - If the blinkers have sharpened up PRINCE ERIK (win) enough and he can jump better than he did when narrowly losing out earlier this week, then he should take all the beating here.
Easyfix Handicap Hurdle (88-116) (4YO plus) (2.55) - A tricky one to sort out between Impersonator and MILLROCK LADY (win), who gets the vote having stepped up on a number of placed efforts when scoring gamely over 2m6f at Kilbeggan last time and she doesn't look badly treated on her handicap debut.
Elizabeth Kenneally Memorial Handicap (50-75) (3YO plus) (3.25) - Talkin Kate has clearly had her fair share of problems over the years but is making time up very quickly but HISTORIC OCCASION (win) was unlucky not to win last time and is fairly treated by the rise in the handicap which is negated by the very capable Liam Roche (won the 2m handicap earlier this week).
Connacht Tribune Handicap Chase (4YO plus) (3.55) - PALLASMORE (win) produced a career-best performance when scoring by 10-lengths over 2m4f at Tipperary a couple of weeks ago and is fairly handicapped with an 11lbs hike for a 10 lengths win. ECHO BOB (each/way)romped home on his last start of the previous season and hasn’t done much wrong since, so could go well enough to race the places.
Although exposed, Dance On By sets a useful standard and won’t be brushed aside easily, but it might be worth taking her on if she’s short enough. Endearing who was by no means disgraced first time up at Navan in May, but ASKERIA (win) achieved more when fourth on her racecourse debut over 1m2f at Leopardstown in April and shaped as though this climb in trip would suit.
Galwayraces.com Handicap (55-80) (3YO plus) (4.55) – BATTLEOFTRAFALGAR (win and each/way) may be sharpened up by first time blinkers enough to take a serious hand in this and a mark of 79 is very fair considering he was beaten only a nose by Puncher Clynch just a2 starts ago.
Fr. Breen Memorial (Pro/Am) Flat Race (4YO to 7YO) (5.25) - None of these can be ruled out with confidence, all being previous bumper winners. The Grey Express won last time out but is 2lbs worse off with All For Free for a quarter of a length and 3lbs worse off with Not For Converting for a 2 length beating. Likeable as she is, she has her work cut out today and All For Free should come out best of the trio, but the form of the race has taken some heavy knocks already. Downinneworleans Took a maiden by 9 lengths at Clonmel last time but came up short when only fifth in a winners' contest at Leopardstown before that and has to step up a lot. LUNA RUNNER was gutsy when making all in maiden for mares at Wexford in June, but this will be a lot tougher and that form has amounted to nothing. Benefique had clearly been showing something at home before debut at Downpatrick, which he took by 4 lengths at odds of 5/2. He’s better than the bare form and should go close. Given that a lot of the runners have very dubious form, VIKING VISITOR (win) has done nothing but improve in his three 'bumper' starts to date and will be strongly fancied to complete a hat-trick of wins here. Greenbelt Star (each/way) is a progressive sort from the Jessica Harrington stable and must be considered.
Easyfix Handicap Hurdle (88-116) (4YO plus) (2.55) - A tricky one to sort out between Impersonator and MILLROCK LADY (win), who gets the vote having stepped up on a number of placed efforts when scoring gamely over 2m6f at Kilbeggan last time and she doesn't look badly treated on her handicap debut.
Elizabeth Kenneally Memorial Handicap (50-75) (3YO plus) (3.25) - Talkin Kate has clearly had her fair share of problems over the years but is making time up very quickly but HISTORIC OCCASION (win) was unlucky not to win last time and is fairly treated by the rise in the handicap which is negated by the very capable Liam Roche (won the 2m handicap earlier this week).
Connacht Tribune Handicap Chase (4YO plus) (3.55) - PALLASMORE (win) produced a career-best performance when scoring by 10-lengths over 2m4f at Tipperary a couple of weeks ago and is fairly handicapped with an 11lbs hike for a 10 lengths win. ECHO BOB (each/way)romped home on his last start of the previous season and hasn’t done much wrong since, so could go well enough to race the places.
Although exposed, Dance On By sets a useful standard and won’t be brushed aside easily, but it might be worth taking her on if she’s short enough. Endearing who was by no means disgraced first time up at Navan in May, but ASKERIA (win) achieved more when fourth on her racecourse debut over 1m2f at Leopardstown in April and shaped as though this climb in trip would suit.
Galwayraces.com Handicap (55-80) (3YO plus) (4.55) – BATTLEOFTRAFALGAR (win and each/way) may be sharpened up by first time blinkers enough to take a serious hand in this and a mark of 79 is very fair considering he was beaten only a nose by Puncher Clynch just a2 starts ago.
Fr. Breen Memorial (Pro/Am) Flat Race (4YO to 7YO) (5.25) - None of these can be ruled out with confidence, all being previous bumper winners. The Grey Express won last time out but is 2lbs worse off with All For Free for a quarter of a length and 3lbs worse off with Not For Converting for a 2 length beating. Likeable as she is, she has her work cut out today and All For Free should come out best of the trio, but the form of the race has taken some heavy knocks already. Downinneworleans Took a maiden by 9 lengths at Clonmel last time but came up short when only fifth in a winners' contest at Leopardstown before that and has to step up a lot. LUNA RUNNER was gutsy when making all in maiden for mares at Wexford in June, but this will be a lot tougher and that form has amounted to nothing. Benefique had clearly been showing something at home before debut at Downpatrick, which he took by 4 lengths at odds of 5/2. He’s better than the bare form and should go close. Given that a lot of the runners have very dubious form, VIKING VISITOR (win) has done nothing but improve in his three 'bumper' starts to date and will be strongly fancied to complete a hat-trick of wins here. Greenbelt Star (each/way) is a progressive sort from the Jessica Harrington stable and must be considered.
Galway Races Day 6
Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Nursery Handicap (2YO only) (3.30) - Tommy Stack has won 2 of the last 4 runnings of this race and is taken to enhance that record with CAMBINA (win), who may well improve again from her maiden win and has been handed a useful racing weight courtesy of the 10lbs rise for Suntan following her maiden. Dermot Weld’s gelding McMongale has improved in each of his three appearances so far and an initial mark of 75 looks fairly lenient. Act Of Love is another that warrants respect following her convincing win at Down Royal.
Low Low Handicap (3YO plus) (4.00) - It’s going to take a lot to stop Ask Jack from following up his decisive win in the Galway Mile, and a 5lbs penalty could look lenient should he go in the same style again. BROAD MEANING (win) is one from one at this venue and cannot be overlooked in first time headgear, having been pretty highly tried.
Dawn Juice E.B.F. Maiden (2YO only) (4.30) - ENCHANTED FOREST (win) caught the eye when second on debut at Gowran Park and had to settle for the silver medal more recently at Naas but should play a major part here.
Cheestrings Handicap (50-70) (4YO plus) (5.00) - An uninspiring race where the closely matched LOUGH FERRIB and LUIS LA NOCHE both have decent each/way chances in an open contest.
Kerrymaid Festival Flat Race (4YO to 7YO) (5.30) - Willie Mullins is normally one to follow in bumper company and his representative ANDERSON MCAULEY (win) should be there or thereabouts and while he’s no certainty, he should take a hand in the finish.
Low Low Handicap (3YO plus) (4.00) - It’s going to take a lot to stop Ask Jack from following up his decisive win in the Galway Mile, and a 5lbs penalty could look lenient should he go in the same style again. BROAD MEANING (win) is one from one at this venue and cannot be overlooked in first time headgear, having been pretty highly tried.
Dawn Juice E.B.F. Maiden (2YO only) (4.30) - ENCHANTED FOREST (win) caught the eye when second on debut at Gowran Park and had to settle for the silver medal more recently at Naas but should play a major part here.
Cheestrings Handicap (50-70) (4YO plus) (5.00) - An uninspiring race where the closely matched LOUGH FERRIB and LUIS LA NOCHE both have decent each/way chances in an open contest.
Kerrymaid Festival Flat Race (4YO to 7YO) (5.30) - Willie Mullins is normally one to follow in bumper company and his representative ANDERSON MCAULEY (win) should be there or thereabouts and while he’s no certainty, he should take a hand in the finish.
2.10 Newmarket July Course (Bonus tips)
MASAYA (each/way) was thought good enough to take her chance at Royal Ascot and it is the trainer´s only entry in the Cheveley Park and Fillies´ Mile. Off 7-13 she can take all the beating.
SWISS DREAM (win) has only won with Jimmy Fortune on board, has a lightweight of 8-9 and could have the class edge here and it would be dissapointing if she didn't go close.
SWISS DREAM (win) has only won with Jimmy Fortune on board, has a lightweight of 8-9 and could have the class edge here and it would be dissapointing if she didn't go close.
Glorious Goodwood Day 5 - Supporting Races
Play Britain's Got Talent Bingo At meccabingo.com Handicap (Class 3) (3YO only) (1.55) - A rather uninspiring contest for the track and ROCK N ROLL RANSOM (win) is probably going to make a bold bid to keep an unbeaten record going. He has been raised 5lb for his gutsy win over a mile at Salisbury but the step up to this trip should suit and he is entitled to run another big race. VALIANT KNIGHT (each/way) has been performing with credit in handicaps at this sort of trip and this is no worse than the handicap he was a close second in at Ascot last time.
Bluesq.com 'For 5 Places In Stewards' Cup' Stakes (Registered As Thoroughbred Stakes) (Listed) (2.30) - Another pretty uninspiring race for the track and the level. I’m pretty sure that SEA LORD win) will take all the beating after his fantastic win in the Tote Mile yesterday afternoon. He should be up to this level is over those exertions. Treadwell did well when winning the Buckingham Palace Handicap at Royal Ascot and should like the longer trip but he was lucky to be on the right side that day (far side) and was getting a strong from Himalaya. With that in mind, DESERY MYTH (each/way) gets the pick to get back on track following 2 below par efforts, one when he didn’t fully stay the 10f of the Lingfield Derby Trial and the other when again not staying the 10f at Newbury behind Myplaclater last time. The drop in trip should suit and he can go close. If Field Of Dreams settled today and runs to his best level of form he could take a fair bit of stopping.
Bluesq.com Stewards' Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3YO plus) (3.40) - As competitive a renewal as ever and any number of horses could win (Palace Moon, Striking Sprit, Johnny Mudball, Rileyskeepingfaith, Noverre To Go, Johannes, Castles In The Air, Secret Asset and Parisan Pyramid to name a few), so I’ll just preview the 2 that I’m picking. The high drawn numbers all look to have a good solid pace with them and with many horses drifting over to the far side of the track, it’s safe to say that the far side is looking good. However, with front-runners Parisian Pyramid, Striking Spirit and Everymanforhimself drawn low you’ll be OK either side. GENKI (each/way) may have a 7lbs higher mark for this than he did when winning last year but he has shown even better form this season, coming an excellent third under dire circumstances when caught 8 wide on ground where the stands rail was heavily favoured on 1,000 Guineas day, before winning his side in the Wokingham only to be only sixth overall behind Laddies Poker Two. Even after getting overly buzzed up in headgear last time, he still won from Castles In The Air (who won the international handicap at Ascot just last week). ENACT (each/way) is a lightly-raced progressive sort from a top yard, and she's still nicely handicapped just 3lbs higher than when second to an improving sort on her seasonal return. Both the filly's wins have come under these conditions and she can be expected to have improved for that comeback run.
Mobile Betting At iPhone.bluesq.com E.B.F. Maiden Stakes (Class 2) (2YO only) (4.15) - Hannon took this race with a newcomer in 2007 and landed the race again last year, so with juvenile success already this week it'd be little surprise were PAUSANIAS (win) to take this first time out and he gets the percentage call over a decent looking bunch.
Play Poker At gcasino.com Nursery (Class 2) (2YO only) (4.50) - Dandy Nicholls is going for a remarkable FIVE TIMER in this race, and as such Dolly Parton is given the utmost respect but EUCARIST(win), an impressive winner of a decent novice event at Kempton over 6f last week, does not look impossibly treated on her nursery debut based on her best runs and could take some beating.
Bluesq.com Supporting Marie Curie Apprentice Handicap (5.15) - TRUISM (win) will be tough to beat if in the same form as earlier in the week, when unlucky not to go closer.
Bluesq.com 'For 5 Places In Stewards' Cup' Stakes (Registered As Thoroughbred Stakes) (Listed) (2.30) - Another pretty uninspiring race for the track and the level. I’m pretty sure that SEA LORD win) will take all the beating after his fantastic win in the Tote Mile yesterday afternoon. He should be up to this level is over those exertions. Treadwell did well when winning the Buckingham Palace Handicap at Royal Ascot and should like the longer trip but he was lucky to be on the right side that day (far side) and was getting a strong from Himalaya. With that in mind, DESERY MYTH (each/way) gets the pick to get back on track following 2 below par efforts, one when he didn’t fully stay the 10f of the Lingfield Derby Trial and the other when again not staying the 10f at Newbury behind Myplaclater last time. The drop in trip should suit and he can go close. If Field Of Dreams settled today and runs to his best level of form he could take a fair bit of stopping.
Bluesq.com Stewards' Cup (Heritage Handicap) (Class 2) (3YO plus) (3.40) - As competitive a renewal as ever and any number of horses could win (Palace Moon, Striking Sprit, Johnny Mudball, Rileyskeepingfaith, Noverre To Go, Johannes, Castles In The Air, Secret Asset and Parisan Pyramid to name a few), so I’ll just preview the 2 that I’m picking. The high drawn numbers all look to have a good solid pace with them and with many horses drifting over to the far side of the track, it’s safe to say that the far side is looking good. However, with front-runners Parisian Pyramid, Striking Spirit and Everymanforhimself drawn low you’ll be OK either side. GENKI (each/way) may have a 7lbs higher mark for this than he did when winning last year but he has shown even better form this season, coming an excellent third under dire circumstances when caught 8 wide on ground where the stands rail was heavily favoured on 1,000 Guineas day, before winning his side in the Wokingham only to be only sixth overall behind Laddies Poker Two. Even after getting overly buzzed up in headgear last time, he still won from Castles In The Air (who won the international handicap at Ascot just last week). ENACT (each/way) is a lightly-raced progressive sort from a top yard, and she's still nicely handicapped just 3lbs higher than when second to an improving sort on her seasonal return. Both the filly's wins have come under these conditions and she can be expected to have improved for that comeback run.
Mobile Betting At iPhone.bluesq.com E.B.F. Maiden Stakes (Class 2) (2YO only) (4.15) - Hannon took this race with a newcomer in 2007 and landed the race again last year, so with juvenile success already this week it'd be little surprise were PAUSANIAS (win) to take this first time out and he gets the percentage call over a decent looking bunch.
Play Poker At gcasino.com Nursery (Class 2) (2YO only) (4.50) - Dandy Nicholls is going for a remarkable FIVE TIMER in this race, and as such Dolly Parton is given the utmost respect but EUCARIST(win), an impressive winner of a decent novice event at Kempton over 6f last week, does not look impossibly treated on her nursery debut based on her best runs and could take some beating.
Bluesq.com Supporting Marie Curie Apprentice Handicap (5.15) - TRUISM (win) will be tough to beat if in the same form as earlier in the week, when unlucky not to go closer.
Nassau Stakes - Glorious Goodwood Day 5
Glorious Goodwood 3.05
Blue Square Nassau Stakes (Fillies' Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £114,420
Pick: Stacelita (win)
Anatara: Promising Godolphin recruit who romped home with German group event when last seen there; Made perfect start for Goldophin when winning Princess Elizabeth Stakes at Epsom (give 3lbs to Reggane)and ran respectable race in Windsor Forest last time out; More required for step up to 10f for first time in tough spot.
Barshiba: Consistent mare who’s run series of cracking races and last season no exception, especially when upped back to 1m4f for her last 2 starts, which include a Yorkshire Oaks among an impressive rout of the Plantation Stud Stakes field under a hefty penalty; Same story with 2 wins this season in listed race and Lancashire Oaks and will give it her all even though she could be left flat footed.
Midday: Improved no end last season, coming second and fourth in the Epsom and Irish Oaks before bolting up in last year’s renewal of this, third in the L’Opera and then topping that with an impressive Breeder’s Cup filly and Mare Turf win; Great comeback run when fast closing in on Sariska (giving 5lbs) and must be considered the one to beat in her bid to and back to back renewal.
Stacelita: Developed into a top class 10f – middle distance filly last year, romping him in Prix Saint Alary and French Oaks before very respectable efforts in Vermille and Arc (1m4f not suiting); Fair effort when fourth behind Goldikova but looked on way back to best when comfortably landing odds in Group 3 at Longchamp last month; Her best could possibly run rivals ragged.
Strawberrydaquiri: Did nothing but progress last year, notching a 4 - timer with best and 3rd Listed win at Sandown under a heavy penalty, giving her a mark of 113, before coming an excellent fourth in the Sun Chariot, capping a great year; Has done nothing but improve this season, bettering hard fought wins with fourth in Falmouth; Should like step up to 10f and may not have finished improving (was hampered in Falmouth)
Contredanse: Much improved for Luca Cumani this year, rattling off 2 handicap wins prior to narrow success in Italian Oaks at Milan; More improvement probably on the cards and while this looks a tall order, you can count that she wouldn’t be over faced by Cumani team.
Rosanara: Showed immense promise when landing debut race and then Marcel Boussac in good style, although little disappointing when beaten into third on final start in Gran Criterium (soft ground not suit); Has been running consistently this season with a fourth in the French 1,000 Guineas and then coming second to stable-companion Sarafina in the Prix de Diane last time out; Supplemented for this off the back of travel problems in the Irish Oaks and major shout.
VERDICT: A top drawer renewal of the Nassau. Midday is arguably the best filly in the world and will take some stopping based on her run behind Sariska at York last time, when staying on and having to give 5lbs on her seasonal reappearance. She has to have a major chance. So does Rosanara, who has been running excellent races in France this season and has been supplemented. I think that it’s been forgotten just how good STACELITA was at her best over this trip last season and if she can reproduce that (fair chance with runs under her belt) she could just run them over.
Blue Square Nassau Stakes (Fillies' Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £114,420
Pick: Stacelita (win)
Anatara: Promising Godolphin recruit who romped home with German group event when last seen there; Made perfect start for Goldophin when winning Princess Elizabeth Stakes at Epsom (give 3lbs to Reggane)and ran respectable race in Windsor Forest last time out; More required for step up to 10f for first time in tough spot.
Barshiba: Consistent mare who’s run series of cracking races and last season no exception, especially when upped back to 1m4f for her last 2 starts, which include a Yorkshire Oaks among an impressive rout of the Plantation Stud Stakes field under a hefty penalty; Same story with 2 wins this season in listed race and Lancashire Oaks and will give it her all even though she could be left flat footed.
Midday: Improved no end last season, coming second and fourth in the Epsom and Irish Oaks before bolting up in last year’s renewal of this, third in the L’Opera and then topping that with an impressive Breeder’s Cup filly and Mare Turf win; Great comeback run when fast closing in on Sariska (giving 5lbs) and must be considered the one to beat in her bid to and back to back renewal.
Stacelita: Developed into a top class 10f – middle distance filly last year, romping him in Prix Saint Alary and French Oaks before very respectable efforts in Vermille and Arc (1m4f not suiting); Fair effort when fourth behind Goldikova but looked on way back to best when comfortably landing odds in Group 3 at Longchamp last month; Her best could possibly run rivals ragged.
Strawberrydaquiri: Did nothing but progress last year, notching a 4 - timer with best and 3rd Listed win at Sandown under a heavy penalty, giving her a mark of 113, before coming an excellent fourth in the Sun Chariot, capping a great year; Has done nothing but improve this season, bettering hard fought wins with fourth in Falmouth; Should like step up to 10f and may not have finished improving (was hampered in Falmouth)
Contredanse: Much improved for Luca Cumani this year, rattling off 2 handicap wins prior to narrow success in Italian Oaks at Milan; More improvement probably on the cards and while this looks a tall order, you can count that she wouldn’t be over faced by Cumani team.
Rosanara: Showed immense promise when landing debut race and then Marcel Boussac in good style, although little disappointing when beaten into third on final start in Gran Criterium (soft ground not suit); Has been running consistently this season with a fourth in the French 1,000 Guineas and then coming second to stable-companion Sarafina in the Prix de Diane last time out; Supplemented for this off the back of travel problems in the Irish Oaks and major shout.
VERDICT: A top drawer renewal of the Nassau. Midday is arguably the best filly in the world and will take some stopping based on her run behind Sariska at York last time, when staying on and having to give 5lbs on her seasonal reappearance. She has to have a major chance. So does Rosanara, who has been running excellent races in France this season and has been supplemented. I think that it’s been forgotten just how good STACELITA was at her best over this trip last season and if she can reproduce that (fair chance with runs under her belt) she could just run them over.
Friday, 30 July 2010
Galway Races Day 5
Guinness (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (88-109) (4YO plus) (5.10) - A highly competitive handicap hurdle to open the card, made eve trickier by the weights starting at 11-5. Kallesham should go well but I can’t be having him under such a big weight even with the good apprentice on board. The vote goes to GOLDEN GRIMSHAW (each/way) as he may well have been let of the hook for his win last time.
Guinness 17:59 E.B.F. Auction Maiden (2YO only) (5.40) - The trio to concentrate on are When Not Iff, Macanor and KING OF THE RING (win), with the latter showing a lot of promise in a very good looking maiden on debut and thus, getting the pick.
Guinness Galway Blazers Handicap Chase (6.15) - An uninspiring handicap with the absence of the rapidly progressive Alpha Beat. CORRICK BRIDGE (each/way) might have been lined up for this race having needed the run last time out at Perth and with a clear round can hopefully reach the places or win. AH YA BOY YA (each/way) jumped for fun when making every yard of the running to strike at Kilbeggan last time and could well go close again.
Guinness Handicap (3YO plus) (6.50) - Vitruvian Man would be a huge contender if anything near his best, while Scandal Sheet could be handicapped to win if liking the trip, but NATURAL HIGH (win) , who has probably been kept fresh for this and looked a step ahead of the handicapped when fairly bolting up at Killarney last time. The next best is LE BOB BEAU (each/way), a progressive and likeable sort who has been running so well over 10 furlongs this season considering that he has been crying out for a trip and his form looks very strong with the short head winner of his last race (he was second) winning again.
Galway Publican's E.B.F. Maiden (3YO only) (7.25) - Aidan O'Brien has won the last two runnings of this race and, treble handed tonight (all runners look to have decent claims) he looks to have a decent chance again. The market support for FALCON FLIGHT (win) indicates that a decent run is expected and he’s taken to overcome the absence and win this. Sailors Warn will run well again, while Raffello Santi is the main danger as he comes from the yard to beat here, will be fit ad hols a fair level of form. Battleoftrafalgar could be improved by first time blinkers and the step up for the trip and with the in - form Joesph O’Brien riding, should not be underestimated. Quest For Gold has had his from boosted even though he was beaten into third at 9/10 last time, and could well get away from the if given an easy lead.
Arthur Guinness Handicap (50-70) (3YO only) (7.55) - SIMON BOLIVAR(each/way) has dropped to a career low mark, is getting some market support, and has bottom weight so gets the each/way vote in a race which doesn’t look that inspiring.
Guinness Race (4YO plus) (8.25) - An interesting end to the day, with plenty of useful looking horses around. Salute Him ran a stormer when fourth to Rainbow Peak in the Wolferton Handicap and won well last time here too, but he might find an upcoming one too good in MYRINE (win), who won by a distance last time out and is too big at 5/1 based on that, no matter how poor the form was.
EDIT: The tip is now SALUTE HIM in the last (because Myrine is a non - runner), and he looks to have an outstanding chance at 9/4.
Guinness 17:59 E.B.F. Auction Maiden (2YO only) (5.40) - The trio to concentrate on are When Not Iff, Macanor and KING OF THE RING (win), with the latter showing a lot of promise in a very good looking maiden on debut and thus, getting the pick.
Guinness Galway Blazers Handicap Chase (6.15) - An uninspiring handicap with the absence of the rapidly progressive Alpha Beat. CORRICK BRIDGE (each/way) might have been lined up for this race having needed the run last time out at Perth and with a clear round can hopefully reach the places or win. AH YA BOY YA (each/way) jumped for fun when making every yard of the running to strike at Kilbeggan last time and could well go close again.
Guinness Handicap (3YO plus) (6.50) - Vitruvian Man would be a huge contender if anything near his best, while Scandal Sheet could be handicapped to win if liking the trip, but NATURAL HIGH (win) , who has probably been kept fresh for this and looked a step ahead of the handicapped when fairly bolting up at Killarney last time. The next best is LE BOB BEAU (each/way), a progressive and likeable sort who has been running so well over 10 furlongs this season considering that he has been crying out for a trip and his form looks very strong with the short head winner of his last race (he was second) winning again.
Galway Publican's E.B.F. Maiden (3YO only) (7.25) - Aidan O'Brien has won the last two runnings of this race and, treble handed tonight (all runners look to have decent claims) he looks to have a decent chance again. The market support for FALCON FLIGHT (win) indicates that a decent run is expected and he’s taken to overcome the absence and win this. Sailors Warn will run well again, while Raffello Santi is the main danger as he comes from the yard to beat here, will be fit ad hols a fair level of form. Battleoftrafalgar could be improved by first time blinkers and the step up for the trip and with the in - form Joesph O’Brien riding, should not be underestimated. Quest For Gold has had his from boosted even though he was beaten into third at 9/10 last time, and could well get away from the if given an easy lead.
Arthur Guinness Handicap (50-70) (3YO only) (7.55) - SIMON BOLIVAR(each/way) has dropped to a career low mark, is getting some market support, and has bottom weight so gets the each/way vote in a race which doesn’t look that inspiring.
Guinness Race (4YO plus) (8.25) - An interesting end to the day, with plenty of useful looking horses around. Salute Him ran a stormer when fourth to Rainbow Peak in the Wolferton Handicap and won well last time here too, but he might find an upcoming one too good in MYRINE (win), who won by a distance last time out and is too big at 5/1 based on that, no matter how poor the form was.
EDIT: The tip is now SALUTE HIM in the last (because Myrine is a non - runner), and he looks to have an outstanding chance at 9/4.
Glorious Goodwood Day 3 - Handicaps
Rolf Group Stewards' Sprint Handicap (Class 2) (3YO plus) (2.45) – A race which is probably more important as a guide to the draw in the Stewards Cup than as a race. I’m just going to do each/way on the top 2, VICITORIA DE LYPHAR, who looked better the further he went at York last time and is fairly treated by a 7lbs rise, and BAGAMOYO, who has form at Epsom which bodes well for his ability to act here and ran a fine race when second at the July meeting, so off the same mark here and as an unexposed sort could well go close. Pastoral Player is a major player if getting the break.
Totesport Mile (Heritage Handicap) (3.25) - A lot of support for Majrajaa, who should go really close and has plenty going for him in that he won over this C&D at this fixture last year, ran well last time and gives the impression he´ll appreciate the return to 1m. However I do think that he can be taken on is such a competitive. The penalised Sea Lord is another to have plundered some big handicaps this year and might just have enough in hand to defy the handicapper but this is by far the hardest race he’s run in so far. Oasis Dancer is improving and has the perfect draw, and could be called Group class on his best 2 year old form. He wouldn’t need to be Group Class to win here either. Acrostic carries top weight but far from handicapped out of things judged on recent effort at Sandown and has an OK draw to deal with, so can’t be dismissed too lightly. The trip, draw and ground didn’t suit Ransom Note at Newmarket last time and if he can get cover from his draw he could well be the best of these. All of this leaves us with INVISBLE MAN (each/way), who is fairly treated for his Hunt Cup with with a 6lbs rise, is drawn very well and could well take all the beating here. The next preferred horse in the race is RANSOM NOTE (each/way) on account of that fact he’s overpriced.
RSA Nursery (Class 2) (2YO only) (4.35) - Memen should go well but I’m not so sure than a 10lbs rise is entirely fair for his latest win despite the second upholding the form and the third being a heavily backed favourite. With the form of Major Conquest and Diamond Geezah not looking super strong, ROYAL EXCHANGE (win) can make a bold bid off a very fair mark given some of his best form.
Turf Club Handicap (Class 3) (3YO only) (5.45) - In a tough race to close to proceedings, KINGSATE CHOICE (win & e/w double) can come back to form following a bad run when he lost his action at Newmarket run. There seems to be no obvious excuse for that Newmarket run but a return to five furlongs should help and the impression he'd created before than reversal was one of a progressive sprinter worth following. RULE OF NATURE (each/way) could find a strongly run 5f to her like and if they go fast enough (they usually do) her extra stamina could win the day under Ryan Moore, the best rider for the job.
Totesport Mile (Heritage Handicap) (3.25) - A lot of support for Majrajaa, who should go really close and has plenty going for him in that he won over this C&D at this fixture last year, ran well last time and gives the impression he´ll appreciate the return to 1m. However I do think that he can be taken on is such a competitive. The penalised Sea Lord is another to have plundered some big handicaps this year and might just have enough in hand to defy the handicapper but this is by far the hardest race he’s run in so far. Oasis Dancer is improving and has the perfect draw, and could be called Group class on his best 2 year old form. He wouldn’t need to be Group Class to win here either. Acrostic carries top weight but far from handicapped out of things judged on recent effort at Sandown and has an OK draw to deal with, so can’t be dismissed too lightly. The trip, draw and ground didn’t suit Ransom Note at Newmarket last time and if he can get cover from his draw he could well be the best of these. All of this leaves us with INVISBLE MAN (each/way), who is fairly treated for his Hunt Cup with with a 6lbs rise, is drawn very well and could well take all the beating here. The next preferred horse in the race is RANSOM NOTE (each/way) on account of that fact he’s overpriced.
RSA Nursery (Class 2) (2YO only) (4.35) - Memen should go well but I’m not so sure than a 10lbs rise is entirely fair for his latest win despite the second upholding the form and the third being a heavily backed favourite. With the form of Major Conquest and Diamond Geezah not looking super strong, ROYAL EXCHANGE (win) can make a bold bid off a very fair mark given some of his best form.
Turf Club Handicap (Class 3) (3YO only) (5.45) - In a tough race to close to proceedings, KINGSATE CHOICE (win & e/w double) can come back to form following a bad run when he lost his action at Newmarket run. There seems to be no obvious excuse for that Newmarket run but a return to five furlongs should help and the impression he'd created before than reversal was one of a progressive sprinter worth following. RULE OF NATURE (each/way) could find a strongly run 5f to her like and if they go fast enough (they usually do) her extra stamina could win the day under Ryan Moore, the best rider for the job.
Oak Tree Stakes - Glorious Goodwood Day 4
5.15 Glorious Goodwood
Oak Tree Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £34,062
Pick: Jacqueline Quest (win) , Tabassum (each/way)
Pyrrha: Didn't stop improving in handicaps, landing a brace of victories at Newmarket last summer (usually well supported); Has done nothing wrong this year, blazing home in Chartwell Stakes (had notable help from draw); Unplaced in Windsor Forest and while this should be easier in theory, has got penalty.
Golden Stream: Kept on progressing all through last season and ran to useful enough level when winning at listed level; Has arguably run successive carrer bests last twice, when staying on behind Pyrrha at Lingfield in May from poor position in Windsor Forest (not given hard time once chance had gone); Can do well here
Summer Fete: Lightly-raced filly who won this last year before unsuccessful crack at Group 1 company in Prix Du Moulin; Presumably been kept fresh for follow up, although ground will be notably quicker than last year and she has run up light on good to firm before and this is a strong renewal.
Tropical Paradise; Looked better than ever when narrowly winning C&D handicap in May; Each/way chances based on that form but hasn’t cut much ice in group company since and while she will like 7f more than 1m, this probably going to be too tough.
Puff: Made major strides as a 2 year old, coming fourth in both the Lowther and Cheveley Park Stakes; With that in mind, win in the Fred Darling wasn’t a surprise and 1m in Coronation Stakes too much; Drop back in trip gives her chance.
Blue Angel: Second to Aviate in minor event over C&D on return, but since behind Flora Trevlyan and Alsace Lorraine in big handicap at Ascot and hasn’t done anything since.
Jacqueline Quest: Defied her 100/1 odds to win 1,000 Guineas, only to lose race in the Stewards room; Proved merit of that effort when third in Coroantion Stakes and major chance here with drop in trip just fine.
Strictly Dancing: Has either won or finished second on all 4 of her starts this season, improving every time despite a rising mark and grade; Those efforts mark her down as tough admirable filly but this likely to be too tough.
Tabassum: Surprised a few when landing her maiden in good style over 6f on July course on debut, quickly asserting late; Blew away the field in Group 3 before coming third in Rockfel (better than bare result); Well beaten in Coronation but that her seasonal debut and obviously more to come.
VERDICT: A very strong renewal with the good older fillies Summer Fete, Golden Stream and Prryha coming here but it could be the 3 year olds Puff, Tabassum and JACQUELINE QUEST fighting it out, with the latter having an ultra-solid chance if repeating her last 2 runs.
Oak Tree Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £34,062
Pick: Jacqueline Quest (win) , Tabassum (each/way)
Pyrrha: Didn't stop improving in handicaps, landing a brace of victories at Newmarket last summer (usually well supported); Has done nothing wrong this year, blazing home in Chartwell Stakes (had notable help from draw); Unplaced in Windsor Forest and while this should be easier in theory, has got penalty.
Golden Stream: Kept on progressing all through last season and ran to useful enough level when winning at listed level; Has arguably run successive carrer bests last twice, when staying on behind Pyrrha at Lingfield in May from poor position in Windsor Forest (not given hard time once chance had gone); Can do well here
Summer Fete: Lightly-raced filly who won this last year before unsuccessful crack at Group 1 company in Prix Du Moulin; Presumably been kept fresh for follow up, although ground will be notably quicker than last year and she has run up light on good to firm before and this is a strong renewal.
Tropical Paradise; Looked better than ever when narrowly winning C&D handicap in May; Each/way chances based on that form but hasn’t cut much ice in group company since and while she will like 7f more than 1m, this probably going to be too tough.
Puff: Made major strides as a 2 year old, coming fourth in both the Lowther and Cheveley Park Stakes; With that in mind, win in the Fred Darling wasn’t a surprise and 1m in Coronation Stakes too much; Drop back in trip gives her chance.
Blue Angel: Second to Aviate in minor event over C&D on return, but since behind Flora Trevlyan and Alsace Lorraine in big handicap at Ascot and hasn’t done anything since.
Jacqueline Quest: Defied her 100/1 odds to win 1,000 Guineas, only to lose race in the Stewards room; Proved merit of that effort when third in Coroantion Stakes and major chance here with drop in trip just fine.
Strictly Dancing: Has either won or finished second on all 4 of her starts this season, improving every time despite a rising mark and grade; Those efforts mark her down as tough admirable filly but this likely to be too tough.
Tabassum: Surprised a few when landing her maiden in good style over 6f on July course on debut, quickly asserting late; Blew away the field in Group 3 before coming third in Rockfel (better than bare result); Well beaten in Coronation but that her seasonal debut and obviously more to come.
VERDICT: A very strong renewal with the good older fillies Summer Fete, Golden Stream and Prryha coming here but it could be the 3 year olds Puff, Tabassum and JACQUELINE QUEST fighting it out, with the latter having an ultra-solid chance if repeating her last 2 runs.
Coutts Glorious Stakes - Glorious Goodwood Day 4
2.10 Glorious Goodwood
Coutts Glorious Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (4YO plus)
Winner £39,739
Picks: Duncan (win)
Sri Putra: Very talented and fairly very lightly raced colt who has an excellent level of form; Excelled himself when a fast closing second in the Eclipse, but bare for of that effort may flatter him; Needs to find a lot at new trip conceding weight but if he runs like last time, one they all have to beat.
Calvaryman: Enjoyed a progressive 2009, winning three times (including the Prix Niel and Grand Prix De Paris) before coming third in the Arc; Yet to reach same heights for Godolphin but this could be most suitable test given yet.
Duncan: Quirky horse who improved in leaps and bounds last year, bolting up in Heritage Handicap and Listed race last year before then coming fourth in Coronation Cup; Bomed after that but was better than ever when second behind Harbinger in Hardwicke and should take all the beating.
Golden Sword: Brave front runner for the Ballydoyle team last year in both English and Irish Derby and King George, and ran to similar level when third in Dubai; Has a lot to answer for new yard though, and not easy to predict how he’ll run.
Kingdom Of Fife: Only one once last season but maintained a steady rate of progress, finishing third and second in Group 3 events; Hasn’t started this season on right foot and needs to improve on his last start (lacklustre fifth in listed event).
La De Two: Has only made the track three times but has done nothing wrong and seemingly gotten better with every one, coming runner up to Kite Wood on debut before then romping home by 8 and 5 lengths; Every chance he’ll turn out to be group class.
Manighar: Progressive last year in France, winning 6 times including at Group 2 level and coming a fantastic third in Group 1 company; Posted good effort on return over C&D in June but lacklustre last time out.
Redwood: Showed some promise and built on that when close second to Glass Harmonium in Gordon Richards Stakes at beginning of season but has been inconsistent since, flopping at Chester and then before decent efforts when fifth in Hardwicke and second to Sans Frontiers last time; Still has ground to make up with Duncan from Hardwicke Stakes meeting.
Traffic Guard: Has been a shade below his best this season, so very difficult to imagine him cutting much ice in hottest race he's contested so far in 2010.
Whispering Gallery: Continued improvement that he showed for Mark Johnston when winning at Meydan first time out, but hasn’t been as good out of handicap company since and needs to improve to make a mark in this.
VERDICT: A strong field for a Group 3, with the likes of Sri Putra, Calvaryman and Redwood in attendance and all are valid contders, but DUNCAN achieved the most when coming second in the Hardwicke last time and could take all the beating if repeating that. De La Two appeals most of the remainder and could be an each/wayweight.
Coutts Glorious Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (4YO plus)
Winner £39,739
Picks: Duncan (win)
Sri Putra: Very talented and fairly very lightly raced colt who has an excellent level of form; Excelled himself when a fast closing second in the Eclipse, but bare for of that effort may flatter him; Needs to find a lot at new trip conceding weight but if he runs like last time, one they all have to beat.
Calvaryman: Enjoyed a progressive 2009, winning three times (including the Prix Niel and Grand Prix De Paris) before coming third in the Arc; Yet to reach same heights for Godolphin but this could be most suitable test given yet.
Duncan: Quirky horse who improved in leaps and bounds last year, bolting up in Heritage Handicap and Listed race last year before then coming fourth in Coronation Cup; Bomed after that but was better than ever when second behind Harbinger in Hardwicke and should take all the beating.
Golden Sword: Brave front runner for the Ballydoyle team last year in both English and Irish Derby and King George, and ran to similar level when third in Dubai; Has a lot to answer for new yard though, and not easy to predict how he’ll run.
Kingdom Of Fife: Only one once last season but maintained a steady rate of progress, finishing third and second in Group 3 events; Hasn’t started this season on right foot and needs to improve on his last start (lacklustre fifth in listed event).
La De Two: Has only made the track three times but has done nothing wrong and seemingly gotten better with every one, coming runner up to Kite Wood on debut before then romping home by 8 and 5 lengths; Every chance he’ll turn out to be group class.
Manighar: Progressive last year in France, winning 6 times including at Group 2 level and coming a fantastic third in Group 1 company; Posted good effort on return over C&D in June but lacklustre last time out.
Redwood: Showed some promise and built on that when close second to Glass Harmonium in Gordon Richards Stakes at beginning of season but has been inconsistent since, flopping at Chester and then before decent efforts when fifth in Hardwicke and second to Sans Frontiers last time; Still has ground to make up with Duncan from Hardwicke Stakes meeting.
Traffic Guard: Has been a shade below his best this season, so very difficult to imagine him cutting much ice in hottest race he's contested so far in 2010.
Whispering Gallery: Continued improvement that he showed for Mark Johnston when winning at Meydan first time out, but hasn’t been as good out of handicap company since and needs to improve to make a mark in this.
VERDICT: A strong field for a Group 3, with the likes of Sri Putra, Calvaryman and Redwood in attendance and all are valid contders, but DUNCAN achieved the most when coming second in the Hardwicke last time and could take all the beating if repeating that. De La Two appeals most of the remainder and could be an each/wayweight.
Tanqueray Richmond Stakes - Glorious Goodwood Day 4
4.00 Glorious Goodwood
Tanqueray Richmond Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £45,416
Pick: Libranno (win)
Libranno: Looked useful when winning what turned out to be an excellent maiden on the Newmarket July Course and bettered that when winning July Stakes last time out, making all in gutsy fashion; Looked very useful that day and every chance here.
Marine Commando: Broke his maiden in good style and showed plenty of promise at Carlisle first time out; Looked easily group class when overcoming trouble to land Windsor Forest Stakes by a short head last time and can build on that here, with the smaller field and extra furlong looking tailor made.
Roayh: Fast improver who bolted up in Leicster maiden and took them all along for long way in Coventry; However was very poor when only third last time behind Casual Glimpse and needs to get back to form; If doing so, chance.
Satin Love: Overcame greenness when winning maiden at Hamilton by 5l on debut; Should improve a lot for that and significant that his stable are putting him in race of this quality, so not to be underestimated although he will need to improve a lot to take this.
The Long Game: improved to win maiden at Ascot in clear style, looking better further he went: Will need to improve as that form still a long way off what's required here, but stable are in red letter form, he should improve again and by no means out of this.
The Paddyman: Bumped into a good one first time out in Lord Of The Stars (seventh in Molecomb Stakes) but different horse next time out when he won by an unextended 8 lengths; That the performance of a group class horse and bold bid is probably coming.
VERDICT: A competitive renewal of the Richmond which has more strength than one might think at first glance. LIBRANNO sets a very good standard on his July Stakes win and is expected to make a bold bid to defy the 3lbs penalty he incurred that day. The race may be run to suit Marine Commando who rates a very strong threat with a 3lbs weight receipt. The Paddyman could be anything, and same applies for Satin Love.
Tanqueray Richmond Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £45,416
Pick: Libranno (win)
Libranno: Looked useful when winning what turned out to be an excellent maiden on the Newmarket July Course and bettered that when winning July Stakes last time out, making all in gutsy fashion; Looked very useful that day and every chance here.
Marine Commando: Broke his maiden in good style and showed plenty of promise at Carlisle first time out; Looked easily group class when overcoming trouble to land Windsor Forest Stakes by a short head last time and can build on that here, with the smaller field and extra furlong looking tailor made.
Roayh: Fast improver who bolted up in Leicster maiden and took them all along for long way in Coventry; However was very poor when only third last time behind Casual Glimpse and needs to get back to form; If doing so, chance.
Satin Love: Overcame greenness when winning maiden at Hamilton by 5l on debut; Should improve a lot for that and significant that his stable are putting him in race of this quality, so not to be underestimated although he will need to improve a lot to take this.
The Long Game: improved to win maiden at Ascot in clear style, looking better further he went: Will need to improve as that form still a long way off what's required here, but stable are in red letter form, he should improve again and by no means out of this.
The Paddyman: Bumped into a good one first time out in Lord Of The Stars (seventh in Molecomb Stakes) but different horse next time out when he won by an unextended 8 lengths; That the performance of a group class horse and bold bid is probably coming.
VERDICT: A competitive renewal of the Richmond which has more strength than one might think at first glance. LIBRANNO sets a very good standard on his July Stakes win and is expected to make a bold bid to defy the 3lbs penalty he incurred that day. The race may be run to suit Marine Commando who rates a very strong threat with a 3lbs weight receipt. The Paddyman could be anything, and same applies for Satin Love.
Thursday, 29 July 2010
Lillie Langtry Stakes - Glorious Goodwood Day 3
4.00 Glorious Goodwood
Moet Hennessy Fillies' Stakes (Registered As The Lillie Langtry Stakes) (Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £39,739
Picks: Flying Cloud (win), Starfala (each/way)
Cassique Lady: Best 2009 efforts do not threaten the pick in this line-up, despite being a listed winner.
Eastern Aria: Tough front runner who won 7 times last year,( including at this meeting) and finish fourth in Grade 1 Company; Not reproduced that this year but did win in typically game fashion last time out and could be on way.
Flame Of Gibraltar: Generally acquitted herself with credit in decent company since getting off the mark in 10f Lingfield maiden in June, but form falls short of what will be required.
Flying Cloud: Has actually improved since joining Godolphin form last season, running away with Ribblesdale Stakes (did not like soft ground when unplaced in Italian Group 1); Would be the pick of this field on her 2 efforts this season, a good third behind Midday and Sariska and a close second to Chinese White in Group 1 Pretty Polly last time; Clear pick if staying.
Just Lille: Always tries her best but is out of her league based on her handicap form.
Polly’s Mark: Greatly improved last year, winning a listed event in good style, doing it well in the Shergar Cup and also only just getting nabbed on the line in listed company when last seen in 2009; Brilliant effort first time out to be fourth behind Harbinger in strong renewal of John Porter and next 2 efforts mark her down as real improving filly still.
Rosika: Won 3 times last year prior to good second in listed race at Lingfield final outing (poorly placed);Nearest finish when third behind Lez Fazzani and number of these on seasonal debut but regressed on evidence of seventh in Lancashire Oaks last time; Should improve for step up in trip and Muratgh riding is positive.
Starfala: Has been running fairly well in races that aren’t her forte of late, staying on well in the Queen Alexandra Stakes at Royal Ascot; Only beaten by a neck when just touched off for second in the Park Hill Stakes last year; Back in the same company today and could run huge.
Tinnar: Continued on upward curve when landing 1½m handicap at Newmarket in May but beaten off just 3lbs higher in listed handicap and limitations exposed fully when last in Lancashire Oaks last time.
Uvinza: Regular in listed/Group company over last couple of seasons but never finished better than third; This again an tough assignment.
Motrice: Has won last3 on trot, comes for yard with top record here and interesting to note that she’s the only runner with a win to her name over this trip; That could stand her in good stead if race becomes a grind.
Myplacelater: Has been a real money spinner this year, winning 3 times, on latest start in minor event at Leicester 2 weeks ago; Should not be discounted but this is a tough race.
Ship’s Biscuit: Only had 3 runs and steadily improving with each run, winning a maiden over 1½m here last time in impressive fashion; Bred to be suited by the longer trip and could be anything.
VERDICT: A really tricky race where most of the runners can have a case made for them. Polly’s Mark is likely to improve for the step up in trip and can have no better jockey than Richard Hughes for the job today, but the stronger form of FLYING CLOUD is too attractive to ignore and it’s worth taking a punt on her staying. I think that STARFALA is too big a price for a filly that has her form in fillies only company.
Moet Hennessy Fillies' Stakes (Registered As The Lillie Langtry Stakes) (Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £39,739
Picks: Flying Cloud (win), Starfala (each/way)
Cassique Lady: Best 2009 efforts do not threaten the pick in this line-up, despite being a listed winner.
Eastern Aria: Tough front runner who won 7 times last year,( including at this meeting) and finish fourth in Grade 1 Company; Not reproduced that this year but did win in typically game fashion last time out and could be on way.
Flame Of Gibraltar: Generally acquitted herself with credit in decent company since getting off the mark in 10f Lingfield maiden in June, but form falls short of what will be required.
Flying Cloud: Has actually improved since joining Godolphin form last season, running away with Ribblesdale Stakes (did not like soft ground when unplaced in Italian Group 1); Would be the pick of this field on her 2 efforts this season, a good third behind Midday and Sariska and a close second to Chinese White in Group 1 Pretty Polly last time; Clear pick if staying.
Just Lille: Always tries her best but is out of her league based on her handicap form.
Polly’s Mark: Greatly improved last year, winning a listed event in good style, doing it well in the Shergar Cup and also only just getting nabbed on the line in listed company when last seen in 2009; Brilliant effort first time out to be fourth behind Harbinger in strong renewal of John Porter and next 2 efforts mark her down as real improving filly still.
Rosika: Won 3 times last year prior to good second in listed race at Lingfield final outing (poorly placed);Nearest finish when third behind Lez Fazzani and number of these on seasonal debut but regressed on evidence of seventh in Lancashire Oaks last time; Should improve for step up in trip and Muratgh riding is positive.
Starfala: Has been running fairly well in races that aren’t her forte of late, staying on well in the Queen Alexandra Stakes at Royal Ascot; Only beaten by a neck when just touched off for second in the Park Hill Stakes last year; Back in the same company today and could run huge.
Tinnar: Continued on upward curve when landing 1½m handicap at Newmarket in May but beaten off just 3lbs higher in listed handicap and limitations exposed fully when last in Lancashire Oaks last time.
Uvinza: Regular in listed/Group company over last couple of seasons but never finished better than third; This again an tough assignment.
Motrice: Has won last3 on trot, comes for yard with top record here and interesting to note that she’s the only runner with a win to her name over this trip; That could stand her in good stead if race becomes a grind.
Myplacelater: Has been a real money spinner this year, winning 3 times, on latest start in minor event at Leicester 2 weeks ago; Should not be discounted but this is a tough race.
Ship’s Biscuit: Only had 3 runs and steadily improving with each run, winning a maiden over 1½m here last time in impressive fashion; Bred to be suited by the longer trip and could be anything.
VERDICT: A really tricky race where most of the runners can have a case made for them. Polly’s Mark is likely to improve for the step up in trip and can have no better jockey than Richard Hughes for the job today, but the stronger form of FLYING CLOUD is too attractive to ignore and it’s worth taking a punt on her staying. I think that STARFALA is too big a price for a filly that has her form in fillies only company.
Galway Races Day 4
Perfect Pint Beginners Chase (5YO plus) (1.50) - PRINCE ERIK (win) may have failed to complete on 3 out of 4 of his starts over fences but seemed to have improved when bolting up in a 3m Pertemps qualifier and then coming a good second in the real event. He’s taken to gain a first success today.
St.james's Gate Novice Chase (5YO plus) (2.25) - A very tricky race which could take some sorting out. BEAU MICHAEL (win) warmed up for this with a victory on the flat at Ballinrobe and he gets the vote here as he has improved with each run over fences as he showed when beating Norther Bay at Limerick. Coscorrig should get closer to Cruising Katie than last time with a nice sharp track and a weight turnaround but neither of them have anything massively in favour to make them worth the punt. Tony McCoy on Adjal has the look of a right punt but he ran as if amiss since but last of those earlier wins suggested assessor was catching up with him in any case.
Guinness Time Handicap (60-90) (4YO plus) (3.00) - Yet another headspinner of a handicap. The answer may be DESIGNATED DECOY, (win) who has dropped to 84, a mark which 2lbs below his last winning mark and only 1lbs higher then when third in the Irish Cesarawitch.
Arthur Guinness E.B.F. Fillies Handicap (3YO plus) (3.35) - Only 6 lengths behind Fencing Master last time, and now 4lbs lower rated, HALLIE’S COMET (win and each/way) can take all the beating here and make a bold bid to defy topweight. The drop in trip could also help.
Signature Novice Hurdle (4YO plus) (4.10) -The form shown by the first 8 is all useful enough to win this but COOPER’S CREST (win) achieved more than most when third in the Grimes Hurdle and is better than the bare form of her win last time, having been unsuited by the soft ground.
Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap (Grade A) (4YO plus) (4.50) - NEW PHASE (each/way) was a big eye-catcher on his prep run at Limerick earlier this month. That fourth behind The Fonze should have left him spot on for this big test, and his previous two efforts at Leopardstown and Fairyhouse suggest a 132 rating is workable. Dirar is respected on his flat form, and should take all the beating. The support for his also suggests that a big run is respected. Lethal Weapon is being backed for the same reason that Fingeronthepulse won the Plate yesterday. Silevecorragh is open to further progress and is shortlist material based on the strength of his handicap win last time out. The obvious main conteder is Overturn, who has been a model of consistency so far this year, picking up plenty of prize money in the process. Win and placed efforts in the Scottish Champion Hurdle and Swinton Hurdle respectively were backed up by a ready victory in the Northumberland Plate on the Flat at Newcastle last time and Graham Lee is a great substitute for the injured Jason Maguire. The main problem could be is that’s he has had 3 hard races and a mark of 138 was too high for him in the Swinton Hurdle was too much last time, and this is no easier.
Arthur's Legacy Handicap (50-70) (3YO plus) (5.35) - FORCE OF HABIT (win) is sure to be popular in this as he landed the opener of the festival in good style and looks well in on that form. Strandfield Lady is really progressing and was going to be the each/way shout but her draw could be her undoing.
Guinness Storehouse (Pro/Am) Flat Race (5YO to 7YO) (6.05) - Of those who have previously raced, Total Pleasure has achieved more than Summertime Solo but both might have to be very good to stop JOHNNY’S LANTERN (win) from winning first time out. A full sister to the brilliant Forpadydeplasterer and two winning pointers, she's also a half-sister to a winning bumper horse.
St.james's Gate Novice Chase (5YO plus) (2.25) - A very tricky race which could take some sorting out. BEAU MICHAEL (win) warmed up for this with a victory on the flat at Ballinrobe and he gets the vote here as he has improved with each run over fences as he showed when beating Norther Bay at Limerick. Coscorrig should get closer to Cruising Katie than last time with a nice sharp track and a weight turnaround but neither of them have anything massively in favour to make them worth the punt. Tony McCoy on Adjal has the look of a right punt but he ran as if amiss since but last of those earlier wins suggested assessor was catching up with him in any case.
Guinness Time Handicap (60-90) (4YO plus) (3.00) - Yet another headspinner of a handicap. The answer may be DESIGNATED DECOY, (win) who has dropped to 84, a mark which 2lbs below his last winning mark and only 1lbs higher then when third in the Irish Cesarawitch.
Arthur Guinness E.B.F. Fillies Handicap (3YO plus) (3.35) - Only 6 lengths behind Fencing Master last time, and now 4lbs lower rated, HALLIE’S COMET (win and each/way) can take all the beating here and make a bold bid to defy topweight. The drop in trip could also help.
Signature Novice Hurdle (4YO plus) (4.10) -The form shown by the first 8 is all useful enough to win this but COOPER’S CREST (win) achieved more than most when third in the Grimes Hurdle and is better than the bare form of her win last time, having been unsuited by the soft ground.
Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap (Grade A) (4YO plus) (4.50) - NEW PHASE (each/way) was a big eye-catcher on his prep run at Limerick earlier this month. That fourth behind The Fonze should have left him spot on for this big test, and his previous two efforts at Leopardstown and Fairyhouse suggest a 132 rating is workable. Dirar is respected on his flat form, and should take all the beating. The support for his also suggests that a big run is respected. Lethal Weapon is being backed for the same reason that Fingeronthepulse won the Plate yesterday. Silevecorragh is open to further progress and is shortlist material based on the strength of his handicap win last time out. The obvious main conteder is Overturn, who has been a model of consistency so far this year, picking up plenty of prize money in the process. Win and placed efforts in the Scottish Champion Hurdle and Swinton Hurdle respectively were backed up by a ready victory in the Northumberland Plate on the Flat at Newcastle last time and Graham Lee is a great substitute for the injured Jason Maguire. The main problem could be is that’s he has had 3 hard races and a mark of 138 was too high for him in the Swinton Hurdle was too much last time, and this is no easier.
Arthur's Legacy Handicap (50-70) (3YO plus) (5.35) - FORCE OF HABIT (win) is sure to be popular in this as he landed the opener of the festival in good style and looks well in on that form. Strandfield Lady is really progressing and was going to be the each/way shout but her draw could be her undoing.
Guinness Storehouse (Pro/Am) Flat Race (5YO to 7YO) (6.05) - Of those who have previously raced, Total Pleasure has achieved more than Summertime Solo but both might have to be very good to stop JOHNNY’S LANTERN (win) from winning first time out. A full sister to the brilliant Forpadydeplasterer and two winning pointers, she's also a half-sister to a winning bumper horse.
Glorious Goodwood Day 3 - Supporting Races
TurfTV Summer Vase Handicap (Class 2) (3YO only) (2.10 ) -Such a tricky handicap, and where to even start is impossible as anyone of 8 could win and the only advice I could give is to not play big and leave the race alone. LONDON STRIPE (win and each/way) ran a stormier when second to Dandino and that looks like one of the strongest handicaps run all season, so he gets the first vote. Now for the second vote to go to one of the of the Johnston 3. Capponi took the eye but seeing as the prices won’t matter a lot to me, I’ll go with SOLICTOR, who almost certainly is ahead of his mark after romping home last time by 7 lengths. The last each/way shout is MARKKAZZI, who made a really promising start as a 2 year old and has had excuses since. His mark is very flexible, allowing for improvement and his odds are too big. Invincible Soul has also held his own in good company of late and, given that he can be relied upon to give his all when it matters; But his poor draw makes him impossible to back in such a tough race. Anyone of Beachfire, Attash, Ransom Note, Cultivar or even topweight Big Audio could win, but the one I fear most would have to be Rigidity of Henry’s Cecil’s. He was beaten only 2 lengths by Dandino of level weights and would have won if held up for longer last time. He’s a big threat.
European Breeders' Fund New Ham Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Class 2) (2YO only) (4.45) - A confusing race which is not made easier by the lack of racecourse experience. 2 maidens hold the form key, but neither of them look great. It’s possible that DUBAWI GOLD (win) achieved more when third at Newbury behind Celebrity with the step up in trip likely to help her cause. She easily accounted for Kalahaag on debut at Newbury and looks to have a bright future. Opera Dancer is also worth bearing in mind, as she posted an improved effort last time out and is obviously going the right way, while Kalahaag will be much closer under a yard that are flying than on debut. Dubawi Gulf was unlucky to bump into a smart individual when she was introduced at Doncaster a fortnight ago but the experience will have done her the power of good, although the market is of the opinion that Fenella Fudge will reverse positions.
Vintage At Goodwood Handicap (Class 2) (3YO only) (5.15) - Fireback is still on the upgrade and can be a force to be reckoned with in this company, but the weight turnaround that GENE AUTRY (each/way) enjoys along with how fast he was finishing last time can help him turn the placings around. CITRUS STAR (each/way) would have gone close in different circumstances at Epsom last time, gets a good pull with that winner Cansili Star and has George Baker up for the first time.
RUK Leading Jockey Award Handicap (Class 3) (4YO plus) (5.45) -LOST IN PARIS could be the answer off a still potentially winning mark if Ryan Moore gets the best out of him. The booking of Jamie Spencer drew me to the 3lbs well in BAJAN TRYST, who has improved again this year and is holding his form well, having come a close third in Curragh handicap last time having shown blistering speed. Both are small each/way plays.
European Breeders' Fund New Ham Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Class 2) (2YO only) (4.45) - A confusing race which is not made easier by the lack of racecourse experience. 2 maidens hold the form key, but neither of them look great. It’s possible that DUBAWI GOLD (win) achieved more when third at Newbury behind Celebrity with the step up in trip likely to help her cause. She easily accounted for Kalahaag on debut at Newbury and looks to have a bright future. Opera Dancer is also worth bearing in mind, as she posted an improved effort last time out and is obviously going the right way, while Kalahaag will be much closer under a yard that are flying than on debut. Dubawi Gulf was unlucky to bump into a smart individual when she was introduced at Doncaster a fortnight ago but the experience will have done her the power of good, although the market is of the opinion that Fenella Fudge will reverse positions.
Vintage At Goodwood Handicap (Class 2) (3YO only) (5.15) - Fireback is still on the upgrade and can be a force to be reckoned with in this company, but the weight turnaround that GENE AUTRY (each/way) enjoys along with how fast he was finishing last time can help him turn the placings around. CITRUS STAR (each/way) would have gone close in different circumstances at Epsom last time, gets a good pull with that winner Cansili Star and has George Baker up for the first time.
RUK Leading Jockey Award Handicap (Class 3) (4YO plus) (5.45) -LOST IN PARIS could be the answer off a still potentially winning mark if Ryan Moore gets the best out of him. The booking of Jamie Spencer drew me to the 3lbs well in BAJAN TRYST, who has improved again this year and is holding his form well, having come a close third in Curragh handicap last time having shown blistering speed. Both are small each/way plays.
Artemis Goodwood Cup 2010 - Glorious Goodwood Day 3
Artemis Goodwood Cup (Group 2) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £56,770
Picks: Age Of Aquarius (win),Purple Moon (each/way)
Kite Wood: Only just beaten in St Ledger last year and continued in same vein when winning Prix Vietcommesse Viger in good style on seasonal debut; Failed to stay in Gold Cup and even though he’s better than that and will like this trip, might have it tough under a penalty.
Age Of Aquarius: Has made up into top stayer this season with 3 excellent runs behind Harbinger, Profound Beauty and Rite Of Passage in Gold Cup respectively; Only went down by a head in strong renewal last time and should take all the beating.
Carraciola: Truly amazing horse who ran creditably at Royal Ascot (had won before finishing fourth here in 2009) but might find one or two too good here again.
Electrolysi on 2m listed race at Ascot in 2009 and showed further improvement when third to Illustrious Blue in Sagaro Stakes there in April; Needs more though as this is shaping up like a good race.
Free Agent: Although he never quite went on from his 2 year old promise, he shaped like a stayer when showing decent form last year; Improved on second start back, beating Drunken Sailor in listed handicap over 1¾m at York; Has it all to do in tougher contest even though he should like the extra 2f.
Illustrious Blue: Admirable campaigner who has excellent record at Goodwood (6 wins here) and improved for first try over this trip when winning Sagaro Stakes at Ascot; That form decent but has seemingly not improved on those efforts based on his last 2 runs.
Kid Charlemagne: Jumper who made a nice enough debut here and ran creditably enough considering only second flat start when seventh in Queen Alexandra last time; However, out of depth here.
Purple Moon: Holds some top class form over all trips in all continents, and arguably best horse in field; Retains all ability even after absence, having come a valiant third in Gold Cup last time; Didn’t stay full trip that day so obvious chance of being even more competitive.
Tactic: Has found an amazing amount of improvement this season, producing one of most impressive performances of season when smashing listed field by 14 lengths and then winning Curragh Cup by 2 lengths; Extra 2 furlongs no problem and major contender.
The Betchworth Kid: Useful and consistent performer for Michael Bell in 2009 and present trainer since; Gets on as well as ever with Hayley Turner but presumably going to need this run and could find it too tough anyway.
Wajiir: Progressed into really useful stayer for Elle Leouche last season and made satisfactory Godolphin debut when third in Yorkshire Cup; Well beaten in Hardwicke and while useful, Kite Wood looks to be better Godolphin horse.
VERDICT: A decent looking renewal where it’s very hard to split Tactic and AGE OF AQAURIUS but the latter was unlucky to run into 3 top class horses this season and holds the stronger form, so gets the vote. PURPLE MOON can challenge for a place over a trip that should suit.
Winner £56,770
Picks: Age Of Aquarius (win),Purple Moon (each/way)
Kite Wood: Only just beaten in St Ledger last year and continued in same vein when winning Prix Vietcommesse Viger in good style on seasonal debut; Failed to stay in Gold Cup and even though he’s better than that and will like this trip, might have it tough under a penalty.
Age Of Aquarius: Has made up into top stayer this season with 3 excellent runs behind Harbinger, Profound Beauty and Rite Of Passage in Gold Cup respectively; Only went down by a head in strong renewal last time and should take all the beating.
Carraciola: Truly amazing horse who ran creditably at Royal Ascot (had won before finishing fourth here in 2009) but might find one or two too good here again.
Electrolysi on 2m listed race at Ascot in 2009 and showed further improvement when third to Illustrious Blue in Sagaro Stakes there in April; Needs more though as this is shaping up like a good race.
Free Agent: Although he never quite went on from his 2 year old promise, he shaped like a stayer when showing decent form last year; Improved on second start back, beating Drunken Sailor in listed handicap over 1¾m at York; Has it all to do in tougher contest even though he should like the extra 2f.
Illustrious Blue: Admirable campaigner who has excellent record at Goodwood (6 wins here) and improved for first try over this trip when winning Sagaro Stakes at Ascot; That form decent but has seemingly not improved on those efforts based on his last 2 runs.
Kid Charlemagne: Jumper who made a nice enough debut here and ran creditably enough considering only second flat start when seventh in Queen Alexandra last time; However, out of depth here.
Purple Moon: Holds some top class form over all trips in all continents, and arguably best horse in field; Retains all ability even after absence, having come a valiant third in Gold Cup last time; Didn’t stay full trip that day so obvious chance of being even more competitive.
Tactic: Has found an amazing amount of improvement this season, producing one of most impressive performances of season when smashing listed field by 14 lengths and then winning Curragh Cup by 2 lengths; Extra 2 furlongs no problem and major contender.
The Betchworth Kid: Useful and consistent performer for Michael Bell in 2009 and present trainer since; Gets on as well as ever with Hayley Turner but presumably going to need this run and could find it too tough anyway.
Wajiir: Progressed into really useful stayer for Elle Leouche last season and made satisfactory Godolphin debut when third in Yorkshire Cup; Well beaten in Hardwicke and while useful, Kite Wood looks to be better Godolphin horse.
VERDICT: A decent looking renewal where it’s very hard to split Tactic and AGE OF AQAURIUS but the latter was unlucky to run into 3 top class horses this season and holds the stronger form, so gets the vote. PURPLE MOON can challenge for a place over a trip that should suit.
Audi King George Stakes 2010 - Glorious Goodwood Day 3
2.45 Glorious Goodwood
Audi King George Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £56,770
Picks: Starfish Bay, Triple Aspect (each/way)
Amour Propre: Confirmed promise with good win in Palace House Stakes last year , being handy in the middle and speeding away at the line; Bombed in this race last year before running better in Nunthorpe; Finished distressed on reappearance, and eighth in King’s Stand; not showing form to win this.
Borderlescott: Never run a bad race, and proved himself better than ever last year when campaigned mainly at this trip, winning the Nunthorpe and placed in Temple and the Abbaye (didn’t get run behind Total Gallery in L’Abbaye); Run well on his first 2 starts but disappointing when beaten into this in listed company last time; Obviously better than that but has something to prove.
Captain Dunne: Has progressed again this year, winning Gosforth Park Cup off a mark of 100 in June; Has run well in listed/conditions company since, but this is a step up and has to improve to get seriously involved; Cheekpieces tried.
Elnawin: Lightly raced colt that still has plenty of ability, as shown by his 2 seconds in decent company this season; Has achieved more in subsequent group race efforts, but might still need to improve even on win last time (was entitled to) .
Group Therapy: Improved a ton for joining the Noseda yard, fairly bolting up in conditions race at Beverley before coming a close second to Triple Aspect at Sandown last time; Pair are closely matched but this is a stronger event.
Moorhouse Lad: Won this race in the past, but clearly not as good anymore and well behind Triple Aspect and Group Therapy last time.
Rowe Park: Can win and is a decent performer on his day, but was well beaten in Hong Kong Sprint (handicap) and this much tougher.
Spin Cycle: Had some smart juvenile form, on which he improved to win with at Musslebrugh in May; Hasn’t exactly had things go his way since but has tried hard on all starts this year; Could go well.
Triple Aspect: Held some useful form last year and has improved since, winning 2 out of 3 starts this year, both Group 3’s in cosy fashion; Showed useful turn of foot to catch Group Therapy last time out and strong pace can help him make mark here.
Gilt Edge Girl: Thriving filly who progressed from handicaps to take a listed and Group 3 event this year; Was beaten last time behind Rose Blossom (stamina at fault) and while she’s worth her place here, has to prove herself.
Glamorous Sprit: Showed blistering speed to win Group 3 at Curragh 2 starts back; However the form looks poor for the grade, she has flopped since and looks vulnerable on back of that effort.
Starfish Bay: Complete unknown quantity coming over from America where she has won 3 non-graded events this year, making all each time; Comes from one of the best US Stables around, is on a hat – trick and has Dettori aboard; Obvious contender.
Mister Hughesie: Won handicap well at Newmarket and would have won again had he not fallen at Beverley, but that form not good enough and confidence dented.
Mister Manannan: Very consistent last season and seemed better than ever when all in 6f listed race at Chantilly on seasonal reappearance; Ran a dire, dire race after shooting to the lead at Longchamp and based on his runs since, will do well to win; Does like course though.
Astrophysical Jet: Realized belated promise shown when fairly bolting up under heavy weight in Newmarket handicap; Would have to be considered here in receipt of weight if literally repeating her form from last time.
Picadilly Filly: Holds some really good juvenile form over this trip in maidens and a French listed race; run with credit both starts this term but needs to improve.
Tropical Treat: Yet another highly progressive filly who comfortably landed listed event at Ayr in June, and bettered that when second behind Rose Blossom last time out; Would be foolish to rule out back in trip but this does demand a bit more.
VERDICT: The first running of the King George Stakes as a Group 2, and ironically a weaker turnout than last year. Borderlescott should be there again but was disappointing when beaten last time even if he is better than that. STARFISH BAY is an unknown quantity but has to be doing something right to get the ticket here and is recommended as one of 2 against the field, the other being TRIPLE ASPECT.
Audi King George Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £56,770
Picks: Starfish Bay, Triple Aspect (each/way)
Amour Propre: Confirmed promise with good win in Palace House Stakes last year , being handy in the middle and speeding away at the line; Bombed in this race last year before running better in Nunthorpe; Finished distressed on reappearance, and eighth in King’s Stand; not showing form to win this.
Borderlescott: Never run a bad race, and proved himself better than ever last year when campaigned mainly at this trip, winning the Nunthorpe and placed in Temple and the Abbaye (didn’t get run behind Total Gallery in L’Abbaye); Run well on his first 2 starts but disappointing when beaten into this in listed company last time; Obviously better than that but has something to prove.
Captain Dunne: Has progressed again this year, winning Gosforth Park Cup off a mark of 100 in June; Has run well in listed/conditions company since, but this is a step up and has to improve to get seriously involved; Cheekpieces tried.
Elnawin: Lightly raced colt that still has plenty of ability, as shown by his 2 seconds in decent company this season; Has achieved more in subsequent group race efforts, but might still need to improve even on win last time (was entitled to) .
Group Therapy: Improved a ton for joining the Noseda yard, fairly bolting up in conditions race at Beverley before coming a close second to Triple Aspect at Sandown last time; Pair are closely matched but this is a stronger event.
Moorhouse Lad: Won this race in the past, but clearly not as good anymore and well behind Triple Aspect and Group Therapy last time.
Rowe Park: Can win and is a decent performer on his day, but was well beaten in Hong Kong Sprint (handicap) and this much tougher.
Spin Cycle: Had some smart juvenile form, on which he improved to win with at Musslebrugh in May; Hasn’t exactly had things go his way since but has tried hard on all starts this year; Could go well.
Triple Aspect: Held some useful form last year and has improved since, winning 2 out of 3 starts this year, both Group 3’s in cosy fashion; Showed useful turn of foot to catch Group Therapy last time out and strong pace can help him make mark here.
Gilt Edge Girl: Thriving filly who progressed from handicaps to take a listed and Group 3 event this year; Was beaten last time behind Rose Blossom (stamina at fault) and while she’s worth her place here, has to prove herself.
Glamorous Sprit: Showed blistering speed to win Group 3 at Curragh 2 starts back; However the form looks poor for the grade, she has flopped since and looks vulnerable on back of that effort.
Starfish Bay: Complete unknown quantity coming over from America where she has won 3 non-graded events this year, making all each time; Comes from one of the best US Stables around, is on a hat – trick and has Dettori aboard; Obvious contender.
Mister Hughesie: Won handicap well at Newmarket and would have won again had he not fallen at Beverley, but that form not good enough and confidence dented.
Mister Manannan: Very consistent last season and seemed better than ever when all in 6f listed race at Chantilly on seasonal reappearance; Ran a dire, dire race after shooting to the lead at Longchamp and based on his runs since, will do well to win; Does like course though.
Astrophysical Jet: Realized belated promise shown when fairly bolting up under heavy weight in Newmarket handicap; Would have to be considered here in receipt of weight if literally repeating her form from last time.
Picadilly Filly: Holds some really good juvenile form over this trip in maidens and a French listed race; run with credit both starts this term but needs to improve.
Tropical Treat: Yet another highly progressive filly who comfortably landed listed event at Ayr in June, and bettered that when second behind Rose Blossom last time out; Would be foolish to rule out back in trip but this does demand a bit more.
VERDICT: The first running of the King George Stakes as a Group 2, and ironically a weaker turnout than last year. Borderlescott should be there again but was disappointing when beaten last time even if he is better than that. STARFISH BAY is an unknown quantity but has to be doing something right to get the ticket here and is recommended as one of 2 against the field, the other being TRIPLE ASPECT.
Tuesday, 27 July 2010
Glorious Goodwood Day 2 - Supporting Races
Sportingbet.com Goodwood Stakes (Handicap) (2.10) – A tricky race and not one to get too involved in, so on account of his belting Ascot Stakes win last time out, JUNIOR (each/way) gets the vote. GHIMMMAR and LADY ÉCLAIR (both each/way) are each good alternatives.
Racing UK Handicap (Class 2) (4.00) - It's hard to imagine a more competitive handicap with a host of improvers and recent winners taking part. The votes go to BOWDLER’S MAGIC (each/way) (comes from right stable to be taking this, bolted up last time from useful Tactican) and VERDANT (each/way) (beat next time out winner Australia Day and holds form in high class handicaps).
Markel International Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Class 2) (2YO only) (4.35) - Royalorien would be a likely sort if improving from her debut, but the form she showed there doesn’t set an unmatchable standard and YASHRILI can take this first time out.
European Breeders' Fund Fillies' And Mares' Handicap (Class 2) (5.10) - Seasonal Cross, Agony And Ecstasy and Seradim all achieved a decent amount last time, but DANCE EAST’s form looks strongest and she will be hard to beat in this contest.
Sportingbet.Com E.B.F. Classified Stakes (5.45) - Quite a trappy contest to close proceedings, but one who has been in good heart and have been shaping as if a drop to 7f will suit is ORATORY.
Racing UK Handicap (Class 2) (4.00) - It's hard to imagine a more competitive handicap with a host of improvers and recent winners taking part. The votes go to BOWDLER’S MAGIC (each/way) (comes from right stable to be taking this, bolted up last time from useful Tactican) and VERDANT (each/way) (beat next time out winner Australia Day and holds form in high class handicaps).
Markel International Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Class 2) (2YO only) (4.35) - Royalorien would be a likely sort if improving from her debut, but the form she showed there doesn’t set an unmatchable standard and YASHRILI can take this first time out.
European Breeders' Fund Fillies' And Mares' Handicap (Class 2) (5.10) - Seasonal Cross, Agony And Ecstasy and Seradim all achieved a decent amount last time, but DANCE EAST’s form looks strongest and she will be hard to beat in this contest.
Sportingbet.Com E.B.F. Classified Stakes (5.45) - Quite a trappy contest to close proceedings, but one who has been in good heart and have been shaping as if a drop to 7f will suit is ORATORY.
Galway Races Day 3
Tote Placepot Races 1 to 6 Novice Hurdle (4YO plus) (3.00) - Final Day hardly had to break sweat to score over 2m 2f at Downpatrick last time and should be tough enough to beat, while the booking of AP McCoy signals big things for Carraigmartin, but BALLYADAM BROOK has won his last two starts and is another with claims despite stepping up in class.
Tote Telebet 1850 238 669 Handicap Hurdle - WATERLOO CHEATEAU could hold claims off a light weight here, with the strong travelling style of Paul Carberry likely to help matters. Although BLACK JACKARI has a big weight he’s only been raised 2lbs for his latest win and is worth putting into the plays just for that.
FAIRWOOD BOB has been running well over fences this season, scoring at Clonmel in May and looks well treated here. HOOPY has a decent mark based on his best form and has been dropping a little in the handicap, and he does looks well treated on 9lbs better terms with the winner form that day (Dooby) today.
www.thetote.com (Q.R.) Maiden (3YO plus) (4.45) - ENDLESS INTRIGUE twice a winner in National Hunt flat races and second in the Irish Champion Bumper at Punchestown, so assuming he has the speed, can take this contest.
www.thetote.com Galway Plate (Handicap Chase) (Grade A) (4YO plus) (5.25) - MAJESTIC CONCORDE scored comfortably over 2m 4f at Sligo last October and was a close fourth on the Flat at Chester last time out. His fencing mark has not been changed from 138, so he should be well in and can go close to taking this. 9/2 is a fair reflection of his chance, but you might want more value. THEMOONANDSIXPENCE has the worry of inexperience but on the plus side, remains very much unexposed following just two starts over fences. He was well behind CUN NA GRAI on his last start over fences, so I’ll back both each/way. It was the third success in a row over the larger obstacles for Grand Slam Hero when he landed the Summer Plate at Market Rasen. He’s in good heart, but one has to question how much he has in hand, especially with a 7lbs rise in the weights. Five Dream goes well fresh and is probably better going right-handed, so he has a couple of things in his favour, but his form looks short of what’s required while the Fonze will need an improvement again to carry the weight.
Tote Trifecta Handicap (50-70) (4YO plus) (6.00) - Not a race I want to be dealing with all that much and the suggestion is ROCK CRITIC, the prices dictating whether a win or each/way bet is placed.
www.totegoracingclub.com Handicap (60-95) (3YO only) (6.35) - A trappy race where you could make a case for 6. Was originally going to with Enfield Giant after his really impressive and game win at Newcastle, but think that there might be a case made for ENDLESS EXPANSE, a close sixth at Gowran last time. Dropped a couple of pounds in the handicap and with first time blinkers fitted, she might have the edge.
Tote Return All Profits To Racing Maiden (3YO to 4YO) (7.10) - Mctaggart and Born To Excel have the best finishing positions of any horses in the field but UNNACOMPANIED will improve a lot for her first run and may take this.
Tote Telebet 1850 238 669 Handicap Hurdle - WATERLOO CHEATEAU could hold claims off a light weight here, with the strong travelling style of Paul Carberry likely to help matters. Although BLACK JACKARI has a big weight he’s only been raised 2lbs for his latest win and is worth putting into the plays just for that.
FAIRWOOD BOB has been running well over fences this season, scoring at Clonmel in May and looks well treated here. HOOPY has a decent mark based on his best form and has been dropping a little in the handicap, and he does looks well treated on 9lbs better terms with the winner form that day (Dooby) today.
www.thetote.com (Q.R.) Maiden (3YO plus) (4.45) - ENDLESS INTRIGUE twice a winner in National Hunt flat races and second in the Irish Champion Bumper at Punchestown, so assuming he has the speed, can take this contest.
www.thetote.com Galway Plate (Handicap Chase) (Grade A) (4YO plus) (5.25) - MAJESTIC CONCORDE scored comfortably over 2m 4f at Sligo last October and was a close fourth on the Flat at Chester last time out. His fencing mark has not been changed from 138, so he should be well in and can go close to taking this. 9/2 is a fair reflection of his chance, but you might want more value. THEMOONANDSIXPENCE has the worry of inexperience but on the plus side, remains very much unexposed following just two starts over fences. He was well behind CUN NA GRAI on his last start over fences, so I’ll back both each/way. It was the third success in a row over the larger obstacles for Grand Slam Hero when he landed the Summer Plate at Market Rasen. He’s in good heart, but one has to question how much he has in hand, especially with a 7lbs rise in the weights. Five Dream goes well fresh and is probably better going right-handed, so he has a couple of things in his favour, but his form looks short of what’s required while the Fonze will need an improvement again to carry the weight.
Tote Trifecta Handicap (50-70) (4YO plus) (6.00) - Not a race I want to be dealing with all that much and the suggestion is ROCK CRITIC, the prices dictating whether a win or each/way bet is placed.
www.totegoracingclub.com Handicap (60-95) (3YO only) (6.35) - A trappy race where you could make a case for 6. Was originally going to with Enfield Giant after his really impressive and game win at Newcastle, but think that there might be a case made for ENDLESS EXPANSE, a close sixth at Gowran last time. Dropped a couple of pounds in the handicap and with first time blinkers fitted, she might have the edge.
Tote Return All Profits To Racing Maiden (3YO to 4YO) (7.10) - Mctaggart and Born To Excel have the best finishing positions of any horses in the field but UNNACOMPANIED will improve a lot for her first run and may take this.
Galway Races Day 2
Topaz Maiden Hurdle (5YO plus) (5.10) – A tricky contest to sort out as ever, with UNIVERSAL TRUTH (win pick) holding the best run in the field courtesy of his third in the Grade 1 Punchestown Bumper.
Latin Quarter Chase (5YO plus) (5.45) - *NATAL won this race last year and he has every chance of staging a follow up this afternoon. By far the highest rated in today's line-up, James Lambe's dual Grade 2 winner was far from disgraced in the Champion Chase at the Punchestown Festival in April and a repeat of that form will suffice in this lesser company. Taken word from word from the ATR website, but it sums up my feel on the race.
Taken from www.attheraces.com
Topaz Handicap (55-80) (3YO plus) (6.20) - Dermot Weld’s EASY MATE (each/way) was amiss last time and given the competitive nature of the races here, wouldn’t be running unless he had a decent shot at things. The Ballydoyle horse DON LEONE (each/way) is improving as he steps up in trip, he showed good battling qualities to open his account at the fourth time of asking over 1m6f at Killarney earlier this month and he looks well treated off an initial mark of 80.
Topaz Mile E.B.F. Handicap (3YO plus) (7.00) - As competitive a renewal of this as ever and I’m inclined to go for 2 horses dropping out from group company. KARGALI has d actually won a Group 3 before coming a very respectable seventh in the Lockinge, and with a 5lbs claimer to help, he can make a mark. ASTATRI was a close second in the Rockfel Stakes as a 2 year old and has been tried too highly this year, so could make a mark here too. The favourite Musajef and Designated Decoy (if getting a run) make most appeal of the others.
caulfieldindustrial.com E.B.F. Fillies Maiden (2YO only) (7.35) - Hasty Katie, Praise Be, Zaminast and Bendzolen should all be there or thereabouts, but WHY (win) took my eye in a big way when staying on after a troubled passage (also came very wide) in a decent looking maiden at the Curragh and might just be able to take this.
Caulfield Industrial Athlone Handicap (55-80) (8.05) - NORTHERN ROCKED gets the vote to go one better in a tight but winnable race.
caulfieldindustrial.com E.B.F. Maiden (3YO only) - Purple Land should run his race again but I like the look of the Dermot Weld trained PARLOUR to be able to take this.
Latin Quarter Chase (5YO plus) (5.45) - *NATAL won this race last year and he has every chance of staging a follow up this afternoon. By far the highest rated in today's line-up, James Lambe's dual Grade 2 winner was far from disgraced in the Champion Chase at the Punchestown Festival in April and a repeat of that form will suffice in this lesser company. Taken word from word from the ATR website, but it sums up my feel on the race.
Taken from www.attheraces.com
Topaz Handicap (55-80) (3YO plus) (6.20) - Dermot Weld’s EASY MATE (each/way) was amiss last time and given the competitive nature of the races here, wouldn’t be running unless he had a decent shot at things. The Ballydoyle horse DON LEONE (each/way) is improving as he steps up in trip, he showed good battling qualities to open his account at the fourth time of asking over 1m6f at Killarney earlier this month and he looks well treated off an initial mark of 80.
Topaz Mile E.B.F. Handicap (3YO plus) (7.00) - As competitive a renewal of this as ever and I’m inclined to go for 2 horses dropping out from group company. KARGALI has d actually won a Group 3 before coming a very respectable seventh in the Lockinge, and with a 5lbs claimer to help, he can make a mark. ASTATRI was a close second in the Rockfel Stakes as a 2 year old and has been tried too highly this year, so could make a mark here too. The favourite Musajef and Designated Decoy (if getting a run) make most appeal of the others.
caulfieldindustrial.com E.B.F. Fillies Maiden (2YO only) (7.35) - Hasty Katie, Praise Be, Zaminast and Bendzolen should all be there or thereabouts, but WHY (win) took my eye in a big way when staying on after a troubled passage (also came very wide) in a decent looking maiden at the Curragh and might just be able to take this.
Caulfield Industrial Athlone Handicap (55-80) (8.05) - NORTHERN ROCKED gets the vote to go one better in a tight but winnable race.
caulfieldindustrial.com E.B.F. Maiden (3YO only) - Purple Land should run his race again but I like the look of the Dermot Weld trained PARLOUR to be able to take this.
Vintage Stakes 2010 - Glorious Good-wood Day 2
2.45 Glorious Goodwood
Veuve Clicquot Vintage Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Pick: King Torus
King Torus: Created good impression on Leicester debut, being green early but then staying on powerfully to score by 5 lengths; Best of him not seen at Royal Ascot but he put that right when winning the Superlative Stakes by a neck, and should go well again here, even under penalty.
Chilworth Lad: Held his own admirably in pattern company, finishing well having been repeatedly denied clear run in Railway Stakes last time; This isn’t necessarily a weaker spot but should be there nonetheless.
Crown Prosecutor: Form of his maiden win over 6f here has been franked time and time again and took another step forward when landing conditions event (form been boosted by runner-up since); May progress again for in form yard, and booking of Fallon suggests yard means business.
Major Art: Confirmed promise of debut at Newmarket when winning 7f maiden by 5 lengths; Will improve from that and shouldn’t be underrated by any means but form of his win is nothing special.
Coming forward with every run, improving from debut fifth to win 7f Leicester maiden before runner-up to thriving Zoffany in listed race at Leopardstown; Cloud well step up again and one to be positive about, coming from right yard.
Surrey Star: Well and truly trashed by Epliptic on second run by penny dropped when off the mark in 7f Epsom maiden a fortnight ago, staying on nicely; This much tougher spot.
Waltz Waltz: Won a weak maiden at Ripon first time out but followed up in good style next time, achieving lot more when beating 3 previous winners (giving weight away to second ) at Newcastle last time; This again tougher, but shouldn’t be discounted.
VERDICT: A 3lbs penalty and some useful opposition make this no walkover for KING TORUS but he holds the strongest claims here.
Veuve Clicquot Vintage Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Pick: King Torus
King Torus: Created good impression on Leicester debut, being green early but then staying on powerfully to score by 5 lengths; Best of him not seen at Royal Ascot but he put that right when winning the Superlative Stakes by a neck, and should go well again here, even under penalty.
Chilworth Lad: Held his own admirably in pattern company, finishing well having been repeatedly denied clear run in Railway Stakes last time; This isn’t necessarily a weaker spot but should be there nonetheless.
Crown Prosecutor: Form of his maiden win over 6f here has been franked time and time again and took another step forward when landing conditions event (form been boosted by runner-up since); May progress again for in form yard, and booking of Fallon suggests yard means business.
Major Art: Confirmed promise of debut at Newmarket when winning 7f maiden by 5 lengths; Will improve from that and shouldn’t be underrated by any means but form of his win is nothing special.
Coming forward with every run, improving from debut fifth to win 7f Leicester maiden before runner-up to thriving Zoffany in listed race at Leopardstown; Cloud well step up again and one to be positive about, coming from right yard.
Surrey Star: Well and truly trashed by Epliptic on second run by penny dropped when off the mark in 7f Epsom maiden a fortnight ago, staying on nicely; This much tougher spot.
Waltz Waltz: Won a weak maiden at Ripon first time out but followed up in good style next time, achieving lot more when beating 3 previous winners (giving weight away to second ) at Newcastle last time; This again tougher, but shouldn’t be discounted.
VERDICT: A 3lbs penalty and some useful opposition make this no walkover for KING TORUS but he holds the strongest claims here.
Sussex Stakes
Glorious Goodwood 3.20
Sussex Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £179,677
Pick: Rip Van Winkle
Beacon Lodge: Has reached new heights last season and was not disgraced when sixth in this last year; Hasn’t run as well this season, and despite coming back to best will probably find this all too much.
Dream Eater: Excellent 5th in 2,000 Guineas 2 years ago before then finishing 3rd in the Jersey Stakes, suffering a setback afterwards; Has continued to run some consistent races at decent level and also made good return last month; Ran career best when third in Queen Anne but put in place by resurgent Premio Loco in Summer Mile last time.
Mac Love: Has been rejuvenated by the Liddiard stable, and posted a personal best when landing 2 Group 3 races here and at Sailsbury last season; Has been injured since though, and this is a terribly tough task on his first run back.
Premio Loco: Notched up a Group 2 double last backend in Germany and has seemingly improved again this year based on his wins in the Criterion Stakes and Summer Mile (with Dream Eater behind); Supplemented for this and is no back up number.
Rip Van Winkle: Highly regarded horse who finally put it all together last season, when putting together string of high class efforts before romping away with this last year, beating Paco Boy solidly and used class to put him through QE11 Stakes, beating Zacinto; Not been seen at best on next 2 runs but excuses and one has feeling that he will be a lot better today.
Beethoven: Grew with every run last year, eventually winning the Dewhurst and was unlucky when shafted in Breeder’s Cup at first turn; Actually ran pretty well in St James’s Palace behind Canford Cliffs and may sneak a palace, as he should come on for the run a lot.
Canford Cliffs: Looked unbeatable when landing his maiden an impressed even more when trashing Coventry field, having pulled hard and gone clear; Didn’t run too badly when third behind Arcano in Morny last August and showed he still retained ability when finishing second in Greenham Stakes and third last time in 2,000 Guineas; Inability to settle lost him those races but penny has dropped and he has been brilliant when winning Irish Guineas and St James's Palace; Taking on older horses for first time but undoubtedly best of classic generation.
Encompassing: Pacemaker.
VERDICT: Canford Cliffs has stamped himself as a top-notch miler, at least amongst his own age group. However, RIP VAN WINKLE had even better form than him last year, and is worth taking having had the comeback run under his belt, when only dropping away in the last furlong of the Queen Anne Stakes. Premio Loco is well worth his place here, while Beethoven may be unfairly written off.
Sussex Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £179,677
Pick: Rip Van Winkle
Beacon Lodge: Has reached new heights last season and was not disgraced when sixth in this last year; Hasn’t run as well this season, and despite coming back to best will probably find this all too much.
Dream Eater: Excellent 5th in 2,000 Guineas 2 years ago before then finishing 3rd in the Jersey Stakes, suffering a setback afterwards; Has continued to run some consistent races at decent level and also made good return last month; Ran career best when third in Queen Anne but put in place by resurgent Premio Loco in Summer Mile last time.
Mac Love: Has been rejuvenated by the Liddiard stable, and posted a personal best when landing 2 Group 3 races here and at Sailsbury last season; Has been injured since though, and this is a terribly tough task on his first run back.
Premio Loco: Notched up a Group 2 double last backend in Germany and has seemingly improved again this year based on his wins in the Criterion Stakes and Summer Mile (with Dream Eater behind); Supplemented for this and is no back up number.
Rip Van Winkle: Highly regarded horse who finally put it all together last season, when putting together string of high class efforts before romping away with this last year, beating Paco Boy solidly and used class to put him through QE11 Stakes, beating Zacinto; Not been seen at best on next 2 runs but excuses and one has feeling that he will be a lot better today.
Beethoven: Grew with every run last year, eventually winning the Dewhurst and was unlucky when shafted in Breeder’s Cup at first turn; Actually ran pretty well in St James’s Palace behind Canford Cliffs and may sneak a palace, as he should come on for the run a lot.
Canford Cliffs: Looked unbeatable when landing his maiden an impressed even more when trashing Coventry field, having pulled hard and gone clear; Didn’t run too badly when third behind Arcano in Morny last August and showed he still retained ability when finishing second in Greenham Stakes and third last time in 2,000 Guineas; Inability to settle lost him those races but penny has dropped and he has been brilliant when winning Irish Guineas and St James's Palace; Taking on older horses for first time but undoubtedly best of classic generation.
Encompassing: Pacemaker.
VERDICT: Canford Cliffs has stamped himself as a top-notch miler, at least amongst his own age group. However, RIP VAN WINKLE had even better form than him last year, and is worth taking having had the comeback run under his belt, when only dropping away in the last furlong of the Queen Anne Stakes. Premio Loco is well worth his place here, while Beethoven may be unfairly written off.
Monday, 26 July 2010
Betfair Molecomb Stakes 2010 - Glorious Goodwood
4.00 Glorious Goodwood
Betfair Molecomb Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £34,062
Pick: Zebedee
Avonmore Star: Second win over 6f when having little difficulty landing the odds last time at Salisbury, doing it in good style; Speedy enough for this and Moore booked, but more might be needed to win; Solid place shout.
Choose Wisely: Made progress to land his first win when knuckling down well to land Carlisle maiden, and probably improved on that when fifth in a listed race in France next time, but this harder on face of things.
Leiba Leiba: Managed to knock in 2 in 18 days when winning cosily at Chester, but was out battled by the exposed Scarlet Rocks last time out, which doesn’t look like Group race winning form.
Lord Of The Stars: Impressed when winning decent maiden first time up over 6f at Newmarket July Course and achieved more when coming second to Casual Glimpse (ahead of Coventry third Roayh); Could well make a mark here.
Manson: Barely off bridle when taking care of modest rivals to open account over 5f last time; No telling how good he could be, and yard/jockey in form.
Stone Of Folca: Always been highly regarded from stable that has good record with this type, and showed promise when twice occupying fourth place within the space of 3 days at Royal Ascot in June; Should take all the beating again.
Zebedee: Looked like a class colt when bolting up on first 2 runs; me up short in Group 2 Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot, but was up in firing line all the way and may have suffered from not getting enough cover; readily landing 5f listed event at Sandown recently and can take a major hand.
Bold Bidder: Speedy precious 5f type who recorded back-to-back wins over 5f of late at Carlisle and Musselburgh; Another step in the right direction when second of 24 in Super Sprint, but might need more to take a hand here.
Primo Lady: Easily won maiden at Lingfield in March and listed event at York in May, bolting up on latter occasion; Could have been forgiven her ninth in Queen Mary, but not her one paced fourth last time.
Scarlet Rocks: No signs of tough schedule taking toll when making all and gutsily keeping Leiba Leiba at bay over 5f; Seriously admirable but doesn’t look Group class on all evidence, and may bomb anytime since.
Serena’s Pride: Showed promise on first 3 starts, winning 6f Lingfield maiden in easy style before running fourth in Group 2 Queen Mary; Form of that race poor for a Group 2 and was exposed when sixth behind Soraaya and Memory in July Festival; Did even worse last week in Princess Margret.
Style And Panache: Generally struggled in stronger company since landing 5f Ffos Las maiden in May; Looks hard task here as well.
VERDICT: Stone Of Folca is described by John Best as the “fastest horse he’s ever trained”, which says a lot about how good he could be. While ZEBDEE was behind him in the Norfolk Stakes, he didn’t get enough cover and can do better here for the all-conquering Richard Hannon/Hughes team.
Betfair Molecomb Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £34,062
Pick: Zebedee
Avonmore Star: Second win over 6f when having little difficulty landing the odds last time at Salisbury, doing it in good style; Speedy enough for this and Moore booked, but more might be needed to win; Solid place shout.
Choose Wisely: Made progress to land his first win when knuckling down well to land Carlisle maiden, and probably improved on that when fifth in a listed race in France next time, but this harder on face of things.
Leiba Leiba: Managed to knock in 2 in 18 days when winning cosily at Chester, but was out battled by the exposed Scarlet Rocks last time out, which doesn’t look like Group race winning form.
Lord Of The Stars: Impressed when winning decent maiden first time up over 6f at Newmarket July Course and achieved more when coming second to Casual Glimpse (ahead of Coventry third Roayh); Could well make a mark here.
Manson: Barely off bridle when taking care of modest rivals to open account over 5f last time; No telling how good he could be, and yard/jockey in form.
Stone Of Folca: Always been highly regarded from stable that has good record with this type, and showed promise when twice occupying fourth place within the space of 3 days at Royal Ascot in June; Should take all the beating again.
Zebedee: Looked like a class colt when bolting up on first 2 runs; me up short in Group 2 Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot, but was up in firing line all the way and may have suffered from not getting enough cover; readily landing 5f listed event at Sandown recently and can take a major hand.
Bold Bidder: Speedy precious 5f type who recorded back-to-back wins over 5f of late at Carlisle and Musselburgh; Another step in the right direction when second of 24 in Super Sprint, but might need more to take a hand here.
Primo Lady: Easily won maiden at Lingfield in March and listed event at York in May, bolting up on latter occasion; Could have been forgiven her ninth in Queen Mary, but not her one paced fourth last time.
Scarlet Rocks: No signs of tough schedule taking toll when making all and gutsily keeping Leiba Leiba at bay over 5f; Seriously admirable but doesn’t look Group class on all evidence, and may bomb anytime since.
Serena’s Pride: Showed promise on first 3 starts, winning 6f Lingfield maiden in easy style before running fourth in Group 2 Queen Mary; Form of that race poor for a Group 2 and was exposed when sixth behind Soraaya and Memory in July Festival; Did even worse last week in Princess Margret.
Style And Panache: Generally struggled in stronger company since landing 5f Ffos Las maiden in May; Looks hard task here as well.
VERDICT: Stone Of Folca is described by John Best as the “fastest horse he’s ever trained”, which says a lot about how good he could be. While ZEBDEE was behind him in the Norfolk Stakes, he didn’t get enough cover and can do better here for the all-conquering Richard Hannon/Hughes team.
Betfair Cup 2010 - Glorious Goodwood Day 1
3.25 Glorious Goodwood
Betfair Cup (Registered As The Lennox Stakes) (Group 2) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £87,994
Pick: Dalghar (win and each/way)
Balthzaar’s Gift: Has been getting better and better and reached new heights with impressive Group 2 win in the Hungerford Stakes last year; Hasn’t run at all badly behind Starspangledbanner this year on both occasions, although tis probably no easier.
Cat Junior: Consistent horse who has been hard to win with, despite a number of good runs in strong company; Looked good when winning Group 3 at Meydan but disappointed when ninth behind Calming Influence and unlikely to reverse form with Dalghar from last time.
Dalghar: Steadily progressive and well-bred half-brother to Dalakhani and Daylami who has always been held in highest regard by powerful connections; Booked his ticketinto Royal Ascot when leaving powerful impression in Prix du Palais-Royal last time, always travelling sweetly accelerating well to win with something in hand; Not at best despite respectable fifth in Queen Anne, coltish before and running too free in the race, and can do better here in easier spot.
Dunelight: Good front runner who has had some real glory days, and back to best when winning listed event in March; Just collared by Lord Shanakill at Chester last time but job on to dominate this line-up.
Finjaan: Relatively lightly raced career, which has included 2 wins here, in the Molecomb and this last year; Not been on song since but surely primed for this event, so under – par performances best ignored.
Forgotten Voice: Respectable seventh when attempting to defend his Royal Hunt Cup crown at Royal Ascot, but has come up short all previous attempts in Group company; Needs lot more.
Lord Shanakill: Good miler for Karl Burke, having landed Prix Jean Prat three starts ago and coming home fifth in the Sussex; Looked just as good for new Cecil yard when third in Sussex and July Stakes; Got up to collar Dunelight but this much harder.
Lovelace: Regained some of best form, having won last 2 starts including a listed event; Slightly flattered by winning distance that day as Mia’s Boy was interfered with and needs to step up on all his subsequent form.
Main Aim: Started last year on a real streak, winning this very race, beating Arabian Gleam, Asset and Tariq; Good effort when second in Group 1 July Cup, but amiss on next 2 starts last year; Has comeback as good as ever this year, but he did bomb out badly in this when 6/5; Should be there or thereabouts but this isn’t easy.
Riggins: Only had 7 career starts but has won three of them, and his best effort came when second in 1m Royal Hunt Cup on latest start; This is much tougher than that though, so needs a lot more.
Air Chief Marshal: Made Alfred Nobel work very hard in the Phoenix Stakes last year and while not winning after that, he maintained his form at least; Has found new confidence with 2 wins in a week at the Curragh, and well worth shot here even though this is much tougher.
Red Jazz: Made all in Free Handicap at Newmarket in April and has come a long way since then, bettering that effort every time in defeat; Unlucky to be caught on all four occasions, and should hold a big chance; However, this will be a tough test and it’s hard to lead all the way in this race.
VERDICT: It’s obvious that Finjaan will have been primed for this, and he should take all the beating if in the same form. Red Jazz should go hard in - front but will have a job on leading this lot, and DALGHAR has an obvious chance back in trip and grade, assuming he settles better than last time when a respectable fifth in the Queen Anne. Air Chief Marshal can go well here too, although this a much tougher spot with Main Aim around.
Betfair Cup (Registered As The Lennox Stakes) (Group 2) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £87,994
Pick: Dalghar (win and each/way)
Balthzaar’s Gift: Has been getting better and better and reached new heights with impressive Group 2 win in the Hungerford Stakes last year; Hasn’t run at all badly behind Starspangledbanner this year on both occasions, although tis probably no easier.
Cat Junior: Consistent horse who has been hard to win with, despite a number of good runs in strong company; Looked good when winning Group 3 at Meydan but disappointed when ninth behind Calming Influence and unlikely to reverse form with Dalghar from last time.
Dalghar: Steadily progressive and well-bred half-brother to Dalakhani and Daylami who has always been held in highest regard by powerful connections; Booked his ticketinto Royal Ascot when leaving powerful impression in Prix du Palais-Royal last time, always travelling sweetly accelerating well to win with something in hand; Not at best despite respectable fifth in Queen Anne, coltish before and running too free in the race, and can do better here in easier spot.
Dunelight: Good front runner who has had some real glory days, and back to best when winning listed event in March; Just collared by Lord Shanakill at Chester last time but job on to dominate this line-up.
Finjaan: Relatively lightly raced career, which has included 2 wins here, in the Molecomb and this last year; Not been on song since but surely primed for this event, so under – par performances best ignored.
Forgotten Voice: Respectable seventh when attempting to defend his Royal Hunt Cup crown at Royal Ascot, but has come up short all previous attempts in Group company; Needs lot more.
Lord Shanakill: Good miler for Karl Burke, having landed Prix Jean Prat three starts ago and coming home fifth in the Sussex; Looked just as good for new Cecil yard when third in Sussex and July Stakes; Got up to collar Dunelight but this much harder.
Lovelace: Regained some of best form, having won last 2 starts including a listed event; Slightly flattered by winning distance that day as Mia’s Boy was interfered with and needs to step up on all his subsequent form.
Main Aim: Started last year on a real streak, winning this very race, beating Arabian Gleam, Asset and Tariq; Good effort when second in Group 1 July Cup, but amiss on next 2 starts last year; Has comeback as good as ever this year, but he did bomb out badly in this when 6/5; Should be there or thereabouts but this isn’t easy.
Riggins: Only had 7 career starts but has won three of them, and his best effort came when second in 1m Royal Hunt Cup on latest start; This is much tougher than that though, so needs a lot more.
Air Chief Marshal: Made Alfred Nobel work very hard in the Phoenix Stakes last year and while not winning after that, he maintained his form at least; Has found new confidence with 2 wins in a week at the Curragh, and well worth shot here even though this is much tougher.
Red Jazz: Made all in Free Handicap at Newmarket in April and has come a long way since then, bettering that effort every time in defeat; Unlucky to be caught on all four occasions, and should hold a big chance; However, this will be a tough test and it’s hard to lead all the way in this race.
VERDICT: It’s obvious that Finjaan will have been primed for this, and he should take all the beating if in the same form. Red Jazz should go hard in - front but will have a job on leading this lot, and DALGHAR has an obvious chance back in trip and grade, assuming he settles better than last time when a respectable fifth in the Queen Anne. Air Chief Marshal can go well here too, although this a much tougher spot with Main Aim around.
Gordon Stakes - Glorious Goodwood Day 1
2.45 Glorious Goodwood
Betfair Gordon Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO only)
Winner £39,739
Pick: Artic Cosmos (win)
Corsica: Has been most progressive and a model of consistency, winning 2 handicaps, a listed race and the Group 3 Bahrain Trophy last time this year; Showed a willing attitude and isn’t done improving yet, so penalty not an off-putting factor.
Simon De Montfort: Won first 2 races in great style last year before running well below best in Gran Criterium; Has doubled up in listed/group company this year, coming with late runs each time, and not to be underestimated for in / form team although impossible to know how he will run on his first start for Al Zarooni team.
Arctic Cosmos: Another massively improving horse, who bolted up in AW handicap at Kempton prior to fine second to Monterosso in Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot; That the highest grade form in this race, and may have more to offer, so leading player here.
Circumvent: Useful 2-y-o when winning 3 times, especially a French Group 3 at Saint Cloud; Ran well enough on reappearance behind Simon De Montfort (needed the run), before finishing last in Dante (overmatched and led too fast); Probably only fair chance to show best form this season when holding on under top weight in Heritage Handicap at July Festival last time, but did it well nevertheless and worth chance.
Dandino: 4 from 4 this year, raising game yet another notch when getting better of London Stripe with trademark swooping late run in King George V Handicap at Royal Ascot; Seriously progressive however that came off just 91 and this is a much harder race, so will need to be at least 10lbs better again.
Dubawi Phantom: Won fair maiden in good style (2nd has won since and was thought highly enough to try Group company); Then went on to run well in succession of races (including Craven Stakes) but is exposed now.
Fencing Master: Has been desperately disappointing based on promise of his Dewhurst second this year, despite his seventh in the Guineas being a respectable run; Just going backwards when beaten at odds – on last time, and while he has ability, seemingly has lost it.
Film Score: Impressive maiden winner who was beaten under 2 lengths and ahead of Fencing Master when fourth to Afsare in Hampton Court Stakes at Royal Ascot; Will like 12 furlongs on that evidence, but more needed and preference for Simon De Montfort out of Godolphin two.
Rebel Solider: Winner of 2 out of his 3 starts, and looked pattern class when springing clear in last 3f at York last time; No telling how good he could be but that off only 88 and this 10 times tougher.
Theology: No fireworks on his first three starts, but penny has really dropped this year; Career best when beaten inches in 2m Queen's Vase at Royal Ascot, and form reads well; Drop back in trip might not help his cause but expected to run well nonetheless.
Very Good Day: Best effort came at this course when third to Derby third Rewilding in Cocked Hat Stakes; Made hard work of landing odds in Newbury maiden next time and well behind Corsica at Newmarket since, with 3lbs pull around not expected to alter placings.
VERDICT: An established St Ledger trial and race that has produced Group 1 class horses on the last 2 runs. There is no telling how good this could turn out to be, seeing as it looks to be the strongest renewal beforehand for some time. ACTIC COSMOS has improved with every single run this year and arguably holds the best form courtesy of his second in the Hardwicke at Royal Ascot.
Betfair Gordon Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO only)
Winner £39,739
Pick: Artic Cosmos (win)
Corsica: Has been most progressive and a model of consistency, winning 2 handicaps, a listed race and the Group 3 Bahrain Trophy last time this year; Showed a willing attitude and isn’t done improving yet, so penalty not an off-putting factor.
Simon De Montfort: Won first 2 races in great style last year before running well below best in Gran Criterium; Has doubled up in listed/group company this year, coming with late runs each time, and not to be underestimated for in / form team although impossible to know how he will run on his first start for Al Zarooni team.
Arctic Cosmos: Another massively improving horse, who bolted up in AW handicap at Kempton prior to fine second to Monterosso in Hardwicke Stakes at Royal Ascot; That the highest grade form in this race, and may have more to offer, so leading player here.
Circumvent: Useful 2-y-o when winning 3 times, especially a French Group 3 at Saint Cloud; Ran well enough on reappearance behind Simon De Montfort (needed the run), before finishing last in Dante (overmatched and led too fast); Probably only fair chance to show best form this season when holding on under top weight in Heritage Handicap at July Festival last time, but did it well nevertheless and worth chance.
Dandino: 4 from 4 this year, raising game yet another notch when getting better of London Stripe with trademark swooping late run in King George V Handicap at Royal Ascot; Seriously progressive however that came off just 91 and this is a much harder race, so will need to be at least 10lbs better again.
Dubawi Phantom: Won fair maiden in good style (2nd has won since and was thought highly enough to try Group company); Then went on to run well in succession of races (including Craven Stakes) but is exposed now.
Fencing Master: Has been desperately disappointing based on promise of his Dewhurst second this year, despite his seventh in the Guineas being a respectable run; Just going backwards when beaten at odds – on last time, and while he has ability, seemingly has lost it.
Film Score: Impressive maiden winner who was beaten under 2 lengths and ahead of Fencing Master when fourth to Afsare in Hampton Court Stakes at Royal Ascot; Will like 12 furlongs on that evidence, but more needed and preference for Simon De Montfort out of Godolphin two.
Rebel Solider: Winner of 2 out of his 3 starts, and looked pattern class when springing clear in last 3f at York last time; No telling how good he could be but that off only 88 and this 10 times tougher.
Theology: No fireworks on his first three starts, but penny has really dropped this year; Career best when beaten inches in 2m Queen's Vase at Royal Ascot, and form reads well; Drop back in trip might not help his cause but expected to run well nonetheless.
Very Good Day: Best effort came at this course when third to Derby third Rewilding in Cocked Hat Stakes; Made hard work of landing odds in Newbury maiden next time and well behind Corsica at Newmarket since, with 3lbs pull around not expected to alter placings.
VERDICT: An established St Ledger trial and race that has produced Group 1 class horses on the last 2 runs. There is no telling how good this could turn out to be, seeing as it looks to be the strongest renewal beforehand for some time. ACTIC COSMOS has improved with every single run this year and arguably holds the best form courtesy of his second in the Hardwicke at Royal Ascot.
Sunday, 25 July 2010
Galway Races Day 1
Hotelmeyrick.ie & The Ghotel.ie Novice Hurdle (5.10) – A tricky race to start the festival off. In this grade, there is plenty to like about FINGAL ROCK, her one disappointment having come in the Grade 1 Champion Four Year Old Hurdle during the Punchestown Festival, although she was still in contention when falling at the third last. Her Grade 3 win sets a pretty good standard, and she is 2lbs better off with Jerry’s Agent for a rather disappointing reverse last time. JERRY’S AGENT is the suggested each/way pick. Cabaret Sauvignon has finished in the first two on each of his last five starts (two wins), while Hail Cesar should hold Suffferen again based on his win last time out.
Picks: Fingal Rock (win) , Jerry’s Agent (each/way)
Jurysinn.com Handicap Hurdle (81-123) (5.45) - A ridiculously tricky handicap, where the shortlist contains 5 last time out winners, in the shape of Split Ear, Cylindar Rattler, Fearnwood Girl, Banna Man and Mojito Royale. First choice is for CYLINDAR RATTLER, who comes here looking to land the hat-trick following recent victories at Wexford. He scored with a little in hand over this trip last time out, the form has worked out and he’s still on an OK mark. FEARNWOOD GIRL gets the second vote seeing as he should be unexposed enough to take a hand, having stepped out of Novice company (having also had the form of his last win boosted).
Picks: Cylindar Rattler (each/way), Fearnwood Girl (each/way)
Claregalwayhotel.ie (C & G) E.B.F. Maiden (6.20) - A Word Apart will be well supported given his stable connections and pleasing first run, but in my mind ALEXANDER POPE may have achieved more when third behind Jackaroo and Eskimo on debut, and on a line through Sydney Harbour, has the beating of A Word Apart. Robin Hood did well when second last time out being unlucky to run into a very smart debutant, and the 7lbs that Joesph O’Brien takes off could make all the difference. Tasqueel was ahead of Robin Hood on debut but Robin Hood may have improved past him.
Pick: Alexander Pope (each/way)
carlton.ie/galwaycity (Q.R.) Handicap (70-100) (7.00) - This looks a highly competitive affair and a case can be a made for a number of runners. SUBLIME TALENT is on the upgrade all the timeand looks set for antoher big run here, and the same can be said for ADMIRAL BARRY.
Picks: Sublime Talent (win), Admiral Barry (each/way)
galwaybayhotel.com and radissonhotelgalway.com Handicap (50-75) (7.35) - This might be the best chance yet for MUTAMLEQ, who returns to 7f following a spin over 1m at Naas and this should be to his advantage.
Pick: Mutamaleq (win)
ghotel.ie & HotelMeyrick.ie Handicap (60-900 (8.05) - A very widely spread out handicap, which shouldn’t take all that much winning, so the pick is LA CHASSOTTE to give away the weight, as she comes here in fantastic form having landed a four-timer recently.
Pick: La Chassote (win)
irelandhotels.com Flat Race (4YO to 7YO) (8.35) - Going for the usual suspects here. Art Major should go well but the absence won’t d him any good and I think that a stronger formline goes through Double Double. Fort Defiance is likely to be favourite but MAYFLY got a lot closer giving away less weight and he can go well here.
Pick: Mayfly (win)
Picks: Fingal Rock (win) , Jerry’s Agent (each/way)
Jurysinn.com Handicap Hurdle (81-123) (5.45) - A ridiculously tricky handicap, where the shortlist contains 5 last time out winners, in the shape of Split Ear, Cylindar Rattler, Fearnwood Girl, Banna Man and Mojito Royale. First choice is for CYLINDAR RATTLER, who comes here looking to land the hat-trick following recent victories at Wexford. He scored with a little in hand over this trip last time out, the form has worked out and he’s still on an OK mark. FEARNWOOD GIRL gets the second vote seeing as he should be unexposed enough to take a hand, having stepped out of Novice company (having also had the form of his last win boosted).
Picks: Cylindar Rattler (each/way), Fearnwood Girl (each/way)
Claregalwayhotel.ie (C & G) E.B.F. Maiden (6.20) - A Word Apart will be well supported given his stable connections and pleasing first run, but in my mind ALEXANDER POPE may have achieved more when third behind Jackaroo and Eskimo on debut, and on a line through Sydney Harbour, has the beating of A Word Apart. Robin Hood did well when second last time out being unlucky to run into a very smart debutant, and the 7lbs that Joesph O’Brien takes off could make all the difference. Tasqueel was ahead of Robin Hood on debut but Robin Hood may have improved past him.
Pick: Alexander Pope (each/way)
carlton.ie/galwaycity (Q.R.) Handicap (70-100) (7.00) - This looks a highly competitive affair and a case can be a made for a number of runners. SUBLIME TALENT is on the upgrade all the timeand looks set for antoher big run here, and the same can be said for ADMIRAL BARRY.
Picks: Sublime Talent (win), Admiral Barry (each/way)
galwaybayhotel.com and radissonhotelgalway.com Handicap (50-75) (7.35) - This might be the best chance yet for MUTAMLEQ, who returns to 7f following a spin over 1m at Naas and this should be to his advantage.
Pick: Mutamaleq (win)
ghotel.ie & HotelMeyrick.ie Handicap (60-900 (8.05) - A very widely spread out handicap, which shouldn’t take all that much winning, so the pick is LA CHASSOTTE to give away the weight, as she comes here in fantastic form having landed a four-timer recently.
Pick: La Chassote (win)
irelandhotels.com Flat Race (4YO to 7YO) (8.35) - Going for the usual suspects here. Art Major should go well but the absence won’t d him any good and I think that a stronger formline goes through Double Double. Fort Defiance is likely to be favourite but MAYFLY got a lot closer giving away less weight and he can go well here.
Pick: Mayfly (win)
Saturday, 24 July 2010
24th July 2010 - King George Supporting Races
1.30- Longines Handicap (Ladies Race) - With Nina Carberry on a sparkling roll of form, ABBONDANZA is the main play in a devilishly trick race to sort out. The preferred start of a long list of alternatives is Pegasus’s Choice while it must be remembered that Fishforcompliments is coming for the trainer/jock combo that won this last year.
Pick: Abbondanza (each/way)
3.15 -Dubai Duty Free Handicap (Str)- A cracking handicap where very few can be ruled out. Out of Mass Rally, SIDE GLANCE and Ginger Jack, the middle has the strongest form courtesy of his win last time out here over 7f. DON’T CALL ME is a nice price for a horse with his style and seeing that the pace could be strong enough to bring him in nicely, so he gets the second vote.
Pick: Side Glance (win), Don’t Call Me (each/way)
3.50 -Victoria Racing Club International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) - Decent Fella, Swift Gift, Poet’s Place, Tagseed, Advanced and Crown Choice were all considered, but YAA WAYL showed a willing attitude to score in conditions company last time and his progressive nature should help him cope with the 15lbs rise that he’s gained in the handicap since his last run in one. HIMALYA is the second choice on the basis that he has put together a solid run of form lately, notably when second at the Royal meeting two starts back, and then when second in the Group 3 last time. Despite having a 9-7 weight, he has only gone up 4lbs and the reports from Jeremy Noseda’s yard are very good, so he gets the vote.
Picks: Yaa Wayl, Himalaya (each/way)
5.15 - Considering the first two pulled well clear and he looks well worth a try at this longer trip, VALIANT KNIGHT is the safe and obvious option for Ryan Moore and Amanda Perett.
Pick: Valiant Knight (win)
3.05 (York) - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) – It’s good to see Monitor Closely running again, while Bushman has been in fine form this year, improving on previous efforts with a Listed and a Group Three win, Nanton is gallant but may lack the class, Summit Surge is hard to weight up on his UK debut, whilst Dream Lodge is a quality handicapper at best. Given that Allybar is better than Balius and DEBUSSY was ahead of him, the latter named gets the vote.
Pick: Debussy (win)
Pick: Abbondanza (each/way)
3.15 -Dubai Duty Free Handicap (Str)- A cracking handicap where very few can be ruled out. Out of Mass Rally, SIDE GLANCE and Ginger Jack, the middle has the strongest form courtesy of his win last time out here over 7f. DON’T CALL ME is a nice price for a horse with his style and seeing that the pace could be strong enough to bring him in nicely, so he gets the second vote.
Pick: Side Glance (win), Don’t Call Me (each/way)
3.50 -Victoria Racing Club International Stakes (Heritage Handicap) - Decent Fella, Swift Gift, Poet’s Place, Tagseed, Advanced and Crown Choice were all considered, but YAA WAYL showed a willing attitude to score in conditions company last time and his progressive nature should help him cope with the 15lbs rise that he’s gained in the handicap since his last run in one. HIMALYA is the second choice on the basis that he has put together a solid run of form lately, notably when second at the Royal meeting two starts back, and then when second in the Group 3 last time. Despite having a 9-7 weight, he has only gone up 4lbs and the reports from Jeremy Noseda’s yard are very good, so he gets the vote.
Picks: Yaa Wayl, Himalaya (each/way)
5.15 - Considering the first two pulled well clear and he looks well worth a try at this longer trip, VALIANT KNIGHT is the safe and obvious option for Ryan Moore and Amanda Perett.
Pick: Valiant Knight (win)
3.05 (York) - Sky Bet York Stakes (Group 2) – It’s good to see Monitor Closely running again, while Bushman has been in fine form this year, improving on previous efforts with a Listed and a Group Three win, Nanton is gallant but may lack the class, Summit Surge is hard to weight up on his UK debut, whilst Dream Lodge is a quality handicapper at best. Given that Allybar is better than Balius and DEBUSSY was ahead of him, the latter named gets the vote.
Pick: Debussy (win)
Friday, 23 July 2010
Princess Marget Abu Dhabi Stakes 2010
Ascot 2.40
Princess Margaret Abu Dhabi Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £22,708
Pick: Margot Did (win)
Al Madine: Driven out to draw away on debut at Carlisle, ending up a convincing winner; Should improve but form of that race not special and lot more on her plate here.
Catalinas Diamond: Posted best effort when 6 lengths fifth to Maqaasid in Queen Mary at Royal Ascot, but just proved how poor that race was when getting beat into fourth place in lower company than this last time out.
Catfish: Showed lot of guts to be belie odds of 40/1 when making successful start in strong looking maiden in July Festival, being Ragash by a neck; Can step forward but this is a very thought spot for her second start.
Imperialistic Diva: Looked quite average when taking three tries to get off mark at third attempt in maiden at York in June; Took a step up when third behind Khor Sheed in listed race, but that event did not look strong beforehand and this much tougher; Oliver Peslier a real coup of a booking.
Margot Did: Smooth winner of first 2 races and bold bid in Albany Stakes at Royal meeting here, quickening a couple of lengths clear only to be collared late by Memory; That renewal already working out well and stands side horses were a particularly good bunch, so should take all the beating.
Perfect Tribute: Made comfortable work of landing 8-runner maiden at Salisbury (5f) on introduction, drawing away at finish; Will like this trip more and should impove but does have a lot more on plate here.
Queen Of Spain: Taking her time to come to hand but probably put up best effort yet whe seventh in Albany (3rd of 12 on her side, having beaten Hooray); Long odds on when clear-cut winner of maiden at Naas this month, but still has some work to do to be winning this.
Serena’s Pride: Showed promise on first 3 starts, winning 6f Lingfield maiden in easy style before running fourth in Group 2 Queen Mary; Form of that race poor for a Group 2 and was exposed when sixth behind Soraaya and Memory in July Festival.
Shoshini Wind: Impressive when winning at Newcastle in June and good second in listed race at Newmarket, but form of that race not exactly strong and also only sixth in Super Sprint.
Soraaya: Made no mistake when very impressive in 6f Hamilton maiden on debut, and stepped forward front in big way when second behind Memory; May have been leading until last strides of race but Memory had troubled passage that day; Still major player.
Sweet Cecily: Messed around on debut but underwent complete transformation when making all in 6f maiden at Newmarket last month, beating Ragsah by 6 lengths; Given mark that she left that day, and stable she comes from, major player.
VERDICT: A very good looking renewal of a race that usually throws up a good horse, so plenty to look forward to. It’s one been about a month or so since the Albany Stakes was won y Memory, but it already looks like one of the races of the season and MARGOT DID was unlucky not to win that day being in front a fair way from home in a hotly run race. Cherry Hinton-second Soraaya is the big danger on the book, while Sweet Cecily also commands plenty of respect.
Princess Margaret Abu Dhabi Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £22,708
Pick: Margot Did (win)
Al Madine: Driven out to draw away on debut at Carlisle, ending up a convincing winner; Should improve but form of that race not special and lot more on her plate here.
Catalinas Diamond: Posted best effort when 6 lengths fifth to Maqaasid in Queen Mary at Royal Ascot, but just proved how poor that race was when getting beat into fourth place in lower company than this last time out.
Catfish: Showed lot of guts to be belie odds of 40/1 when making successful start in strong looking maiden in July Festival, being Ragash by a neck; Can step forward but this is a very thought spot for her second start.
Imperialistic Diva: Looked quite average when taking three tries to get off mark at third attempt in maiden at York in June; Took a step up when third behind Khor Sheed in listed race, but that event did not look strong beforehand and this much tougher; Oliver Peslier a real coup of a booking.
Margot Did: Smooth winner of first 2 races and bold bid in Albany Stakes at Royal meeting here, quickening a couple of lengths clear only to be collared late by Memory; That renewal already working out well and stands side horses were a particularly good bunch, so should take all the beating.
Perfect Tribute: Made comfortable work of landing 8-runner maiden at Salisbury (5f) on introduction, drawing away at finish; Will like this trip more and should impove but does have a lot more on plate here.
Queen Of Spain: Taking her time to come to hand but probably put up best effort yet whe seventh in Albany (3rd of 12 on her side, having beaten Hooray); Long odds on when clear-cut winner of maiden at Naas this month, but still has some work to do to be winning this.
Serena’s Pride: Showed promise on first 3 starts, winning 6f Lingfield maiden in easy style before running fourth in Group 2 Queen Mary; Form of that race poor for a Group 2 and was exposed when sixth behind Soraaya and Memory in July Festival.
Shoshini Wind: Impressive when winning at Newcastle in June and good second in listed race at Newmarket, but form of that race not exactly strong and also only sixth in Super Sprint.
Soraaya: Made no mistake when very impressive in 6f Hamilton maiden on debut, and stepped forward front in big way when second behind Memory; May have been leading until last strides of race but Memory had troubled passage that day; Still major player.
Sweet Cecily: Messed around on debut but underwent complete transformation when making all in 6f maiden at Newmarket last month, beating Ragsah by 6 lengths; Given mark that she left that day, and stable she comes from, major player.
VERDICT: A very good looking renewal of a race that usually throws up a good horse, so plenty to look forward to. It’s one been about a month or so since the Albany Stakes was won y Memory, but it already looks like one of the races of the season and MARGOT DID was unlucky not to win that day being in front a fair way from home in a hotly run race. Cherry Hinton-second Soraaya is the big danger on the book, while Sweet Cecily also commands plenty of respect.
Winkfield Stakes 2010
2.05 Ascot
Jaguar XK Winkfield Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £14,192
Pick: Toolain (win)
Auld Burns: Comfortably on top when beating next time out winner Waiter's Dream in June; Coming from top juvenile yard, who are in some form so should go well.
Deep South: Created good impression when winning 13-runner maiden at Kempton on debut by 3¾ lengths, quickening smartly and doing job easily; Long way clear and seems sure to improve but that race not been working out well.
Drawing Board: Successful first 2 starts and lost out only by a neck to Premier Clarets at Pontefract last time; On 2lbs better terms this time, although is a very speedy sort and will need to last this trip fully.
Galtymore Lad: Progressed to win 5f Beverley maiden and 6f minor event at Pontefract in May, before probably bettering both when ninth in Coventry Stakes at Royal meet; That form supposedly gives him big chance dropping back, but poor form of that event tempers enthusiasm.
Planet Waves: Failed to build on impressive second time up win in Coventry Stakes and pulled hard and raced awkwardly under pressure when fifth last time; This harder than that race.
Premier Clarets: A real trier who has run well on all runs, running into a good sort on debut getting job done in good style on his next start, before running well in defeat in listed company; Showed guts to beat Drawing Board (closely matched) and should be there or thereabouts.
Sonoran Stands: Only has 1 win out of 5, scoring by 9 lengths on debut at Brighton; well held in listed race at Newbury 8 days ago, so likely to struggle.
Toolain: Was set for perfect start in 7f maiden at Sandown when veering left and unseating inside final 1f (fortunate winner second in Superlative Stakes); Had confidence booster next time out but surely holds a big chance on his debut form; May be the one to beat in close looking affair.
VERDICT: A tight looking race where a case can be made for most of the runners. The one that has the strongest single form claim is TOOLAIN, was set to beat the useful Ecliptic when unseating near the finish on his debut (pair miles clear),and he can get the better of the uuseful looking Auld Burns and speedy Galtymore Lad.
Jaguar XK Winkfield Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £14,192
Pick: Toolain (win)
Auld Burns: Comfortably on top when beating next time out winner Waiter's Dream in June; Coming from top juvenile yard, who are in some form so should go well.
Deep South: Created good impression when winning 13-runner maiden at Kempton on debut by 3¾ lengths, quickening smartly and doing job easily; Long way clear and seems sure to improve but that race not been working out well.
Drawing Board: Successful first 2 starts and lost out only by a neck to Premier Clarets at Pontefract last time; On 2lbs better terms this time, although is a very speedy sort and will need to last this trip fully.
Galtymore Lad: Progressed to win 5f Beverley maiden and 6f minor event at Pontefract in May, before probably bettering both when ninth in Coventry Stakes at Royal meet; That form supposedly gives him big chance dropping back, but poor form of that event tempers enthusiasm.
Planet Waves: Failed to build on impressive second time up win in Coventry Stakes and pulled hard and raced awkwardly under pressure when fifth last time; This harder than that race.
Premier Clarets: A real trier who has run well on all runs, running into a good sort on debut getting job done in good style on his next start, before running well in defeat in listed company; Showed guts to beat Drawing Board (closely matched) and should be there or thereabouts.
Sonoran Stands: Only has 1 win out of 5, scoring by 9 lengths on debut at Brighton; well held in listed race at Newbury 8 days ago, so likely to struggle.
Toolain: Was set for perfect start in 7f maiden at Sandown when veering left and unseating inside final 1f (fortunate winner second in Superlative Stakes); Had confidence booster next time out but surely holds a big chance on his debut form; May be the one to beat in close looking affair.
VERDICT: A tight looking race where a case can be made for most of the runners. The one that has the strongest single form claim is TOOLAIN, was set to beat the useful Ecliptic when unseating near the finish on his debut (pair miles clear),and he can get the better of the uuseful looking Auld Burns and speedy Galtymore Lad.
Three best bets of the day
Ascot
3.20 - Alsace Lorraine (win)
5.50 - Club Tahiti (each/way)
Newmarket (July)
6.10 - Short Break (win)
3.20 - Alsace Lorraine (win)
5.50 - Club Tahiti (each/way)
Newmarket (July)
6.10 - Short Break (win)
Ascot 23rd July - One a race
2.10 Florestans March
2.45 Jehanabux
3.20 Alscace Lorraine (nap)
3.55 Aaim To Prosper
4.30 Breakheart
5.50 Club Thaiti
2.45 Jehanabux
3.20 Alscace Lorraine (nap)
3.55 Aaim To Prosper
4.30 Breakheart
5.50 Club Thaiti
Thursday, 22 July 2010
King George 2010
Here it is... One of the races of the summer, summed up by me to hopefully kickstart a summer of great racing!!
4.25 Ascot
King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Betfair) (Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £567,700
Pick: Cape Blanco (each/way)
Confront: Smart miler last year but has lost his form in 2010; Likely to act as a pacemaker.
Harbinger: Talked of as Derby candidate but missed race last year, move which is reaping rewards now; Took Gordon Stakes easily but subsequent disappointments in Great Voltigeur and the St Simon Stakes at Newbury meant he ended the season on a low note; Looks better than ever as a four year old, having bolted up on all 3 starts this year, with the form looking solid; This may be Group 1 debut but he has always been good enough; Peslier superb booking.
Youmzain: Has great record in all big races, and held his form well thought last season again, coming second in the Arc again(ignore his run in Hong Kong as he was snatched up around the turn); Has taken more time to find his form this year but right in it given strong pace and small field; Clsoely matched with improving Darakayana.
Dar Re Mi: Made a huge effort to finish fifth behind Sea The Stars in the Arc after racking up a hat trick of Group 1 wins with wins in the Pretty Polly, Yorkshire Oaks and Prix Vermille; May have even improved again to land Sheema Classic, and while she was well beaten in Eclipse, this is much more her race.
Darykanana: Started last year in small races but ended it one of best in world, winning Hong Kong Vase with withering run; Hasn’t had thing go her way on both of her starts this season, being unlucky to not beat both Youmzain and Plumania last time out; Fascinating contender.
Cape Blanco: Made his debut in conditions company as a 2 year old and made it a winning one, fighting on strongly to get the better of decent looking Balgioni; Unbeaten in 2 further starts last year, taking the eye when easily winning Tyros Stakes and then following up in Futurity Stakes; Romped home with Dante Stakes, beating Workforce very easily; Obviously things have changed since then (Workforce breaking Derby track record, Cape Blanco finishing unplaced in French version) but his Irish Derby win too some guts, and he’s a major player.
Workforce: Made highly promising start to career when 6-length winner of 7f maiden at Goodwood on only start, quickening through from rear; That showed immense promise but nothing like how impressive he would be when breaking track record to win Derby by seen lengths; The form of that race has gradually worsened, but he did beat them silly that day; This is his biggest test yet.
VERDICT: One of the best races of the summer, which promises to tell all about the strength of various crops and races. This all revolves around Workforce, exhilarating winner of the Derby on his last start, having been given time to recover from that tremendous effort. Based on the visual impression that he left, a price of evs is fair enough although a little short. Harbinger has always been up to this level, so no surprise to see him win. Peslier is a great booking as he rides Ascot as well as anyone. On a value note, 13/2 about CAPE BLANCO for an each/way bet isn’t terrible value given that he has beaten Workforce and should be able to give Harbinger and the rest a race.While Dar Re Mi was well beaten in the Eclipse, this is much more her race. Youmzain should go close again, but the outsider I fancy most has to be DARYKANA, a classy French filly who started last year in small races but ended it one of best in world, winning Hong Kong Vase with a withering run. She could take this.
4.25 Ascot
King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Sponsored By Betfair) (Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £567,700
Pick: Cape Blanco (each/way)
Confront: Smart miler last year but has lost his form in 2010; Likely to act as a pacemaker.
Harbinger: Talked of as Derby candidate but missed race last year, move which is reaping rewards now; Took Gordon Stakes easily but subsequent disappointments in Great Voltigeur and the St Simon Stakes at Newbury meant he ended the season on a low note; Looks better than ever as a four year old, having bolted up on all 3 starts this year, with the form looking solid; This may be Group 1 debut but he has always been good enough; Peslier superb booking.
Youmzain: Has great record in all big races, and held his form well thought last season again, coming second in the Arc again(ignore his run in Hong Kong as he was snatched up around the turn); Has taken more time to find his form this year but right in it given strong pace and small field; Clsoely matched with improving Darakayana.
Dar Re Mi: Made a huge effort to finish fifth behind Sea The Stars in the Arc after racking up a hat trick of Group 1 wins with wins in the Pretty Polly, Yorkshire Oaks and Prix Vermille; May have even improved again to land Sheema Classic, and while she was well beaten in Eclipse, this is much more her race.
Darykanana: Started last year in small races but ended it one of best in world, winning Hong Kong Vase with withering run; Hasn’t had thing go her way on both of her starts this season, being unlucky to not beat both Youmzain and Plumania last time out; Fascinating contender.
Cape Blanco: Made his debut in conditions company as a 2 year old and made it a winning one, fighting on strongly to get the better of decent looking Balgioni; Unbeaten in 2 further starts last year, taking the eye when easily winning Tyros Stakes and then following up in Futurity Stakes; Romped home with Dante Stakes, beating Workforce very easily; Obviously things have changed since then (Workforce breaking Derby track record, Cape Blanco finishing unplaced in French version) but his Irish Derby win too some guts, and he’s a major player.
Workforce: Made highly promising start to career when 6-length winner of 7f maiden at Goodwood on only start, quickening through from rear; That showed immense promise but nothing like how impressive he would be when breaking track record to win Derby by seen lengths; The form of that race has gradually worsened, but he did beat them silly that day; This is his biggest test yet.
VERDICT: One of the best races of the summer, which promises to tell all about the strength of various crops and races. This all revolves around Workforce, exhilarating winner of the Derby on his last start, having been given time to recover from that tremendous effort. Based on the visual impression that he left, a price of evs is fair enough although a little short. Harbinger has always been up to this level, so no surprise to see him win. Peslier is a great booking as he rides Ascot as well as anyone. On a value note, 13/2 about CAPE BLANCO for an each/way bet isn’t terrible value given that he has beaten Workforce and should be able to give Harbinger and the rest a race.While Dar Re Mi was well beaten in the Eclipse, this is much more her race. Youmzain should go close again, but the outsider I fancy most has to be DARYKANA, a classy French filly who started last year in small races but ended it one of best in world, winning Hong Kong Vase with a withering run. She could take this.
Valiant Stakes 2010
3.20 Ascot
Woodcote Stud E.B.F. Valiant Stakes (Fillies' Listed) (Rnd) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £21,005
Picks: Alsace Lorraine (win), Field Day (each/way)
Alsace Lorraine: Still on up when coming late to land strong C&D handicap in May (given good ride by Spencer); Bettered that effort when fourth in extremely strong renewal of Windsor Forest Stakes, and will take all the beating here at much lower level.
Flora Trevelyan: took big step forward when winning handicap at Sandown in May by 5 lengths; Odds on when only fourth in listed company since, and was getting 5lbs form Alscae Lorraine when fourth behind her in Ascot handicap 2 starts back; Lot of work to do.
Please Sing: Has a lot to do on her recent form, all of it being at this level, even though she was a good second on last start; Hard task here.
Chcamaidee: Good sort; Ran very well form bad draw in Albany stakes (race has worked out well since) before then disappoint when sent to Sweet Solera Stakes as a 2 year old; Done well on only 2 starts at 3, winning decent listed event before coming nearly last in Coronation (easily forgiven, this much easier); Does have a penalty to deal with.
Blue Angel: Second to Aviate in minor event over C&D on return, but since behind Flora Trevlyan and Alsace Lorraine in big handicap on straight course; That form gives her a lot of ground to make up, even at level terms.
Field Day: Winner of 2 of her 3 starts (runner-up on other); Created deep impression by winning good back-end maiden (has worked out well) before running well in 2 handicaps this year, going down well on the first run, before winning handily last time; This is a step up from that, but she seems to have retained her ability and can take a hand.
Gracious Melange: Just headed near finish on only start (seasonal and handicap debut) this year after a very impressive win in 1m maiden at Kempton in December on debut; Will have to step up on that, but more to come and can improve.
I’m A Dreamer: Made a quick start to winning, unbeaten in maiden at Yarmouth and handicaps at Goodwood and Newmarket (all at 1m); Impressive all 3 starts but has to find a lot more for steep rise in class here.
VERDICT: The unpenalized Chchamaidee should find this much easier than Royal Ascot but the same can be said for ALSACE LORRAINE, who ran a great race to finish fourth in a strong renewal of the Windsor Forest and drops down to a much lower level today. The other one that takes my eye is FIELD DAY, who has gone under the radar and is a potential pattern horse based on her maiden win. She looks to have retained all ability based on her two runs this year, and this is definitely a race which she can make her mark on.
Woodcote Stud E.B.F. Valiant Stakes (Fillies' Listed) (Rnd) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £21,005
Picks: Alsace Lorraine (win), Field Day (each/way)
Alsace Lorraine: Still on up when coming late to land strong C&D handicap in May (given good ride by Spencer); Bettered that effort when fourth in extremely strong renewal of Windsor Forest Stakes, and will take all the beating here at much lower level.
Flora Trevelyan: took big step forward when winning handicap at Sandown in May by 5 lengths; Odds on when only fourth in listed company since, and was getting 5lbs form Alscae Lorraine when fourth behind her in Ascot handicap 2 starts back; Lot of work to do.
Please Sing: Has a lot to do on her recent form, all of it being at this level, even though she was a good second on last start; Hard task here.
Chcamaidee: Good sort; Ran very well form bad draw in Albany stakes (race has worked out well since) before then disappoint when sent to Sweet Solera Stakes as a 2 year old; Done well on only 2 starts at 3, winning decent listed event before coming nearly last in Coronation (easily forgiven, this much easier); Does have a penalty to deal with.
Blue Angel: Second to Aviate in minor event over C&D on return, but since behind Flora Trevlyan and Alsace Lorraine in big handicap on straight course; That form gives her a lot of ground to make up, even at level terms.
Field Day: Winner of 2 of her 3 starts (runner-up on other); Created deep impression by winning good back-end maiden (has worked out well) before running well in 2 handicaps this year, going down well on the first run, before winning handily last time; This is a step up from that, but she seems to have retained her ability and can take a hand.
Gracious Melange: Just headed near finish on only start (seasonal and handicap debut) this year after a very impressive win in 1m maiden at Kempton in December on debut; Will have to step up on that, but more to come and can improve.
I’m A Dreamer: Made a quick start to winning, unbeaten in maiden at Yarmouth and handicaps at Goodwood and Newmarket (all at 1m); Impressive all 3 starts but has to find a lot more for steep rise in class here.
VERDICT: The unpenalized Chchamaidee should find this much easier than Royal Ascot but the same can be said for ALSACE LORRAINE, who ran a great race to finish fourth in a strong renewal of the Windsor Forest and drops down to a much lower level today. The other one that takes my eye is FIELD DAY, who has gone under the radar and is a potential pattern horse based on her maiden win. She looks to have retained all ability based on her two runs this year, and this is definitely a race which she can make her mark on.
Wednesday, 21 July 2010
Meld Stakes 2010
Leopardstown 7.30
Jockey Club Of Turkey Meld Stakes (group 3) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner €39,000
Famous Name: High class, strong-travelling horse who scored 3 times in 2009, and was second in Group 1 and 2 company; Has come out on top both starts this term, albeit pushed hard to land odds in this grade over 1m here last time; One to beat although penalty will make life tough once again.
Finnicus: Solid effort when a couple of lengths third to Recharge in a listed race here; More needed here.
Lord High Admiral: Landed 7f Gowran maiden on debut last term, but failed to make impact in sales race/Group 1 after, ending up with good effort here last time; Looks to be pacemaker.
Steinbeck: Encouraging in 2 starts as a juvenile, beating Gold Bubbles and King Ledley by comfortable 2 lengths great effort in the Dewhurst, racing close to the gallop leading all the way and then being unlucky to be on unflavoured rail side; Started off year in great style with staying on fourth in Irish Guineas (hampered) but below par at Royal Ascot, finding himself in front too soon and then getting squeezed up (faded to eighth); No excuses put forward for that but worth another chance.
Vita Venturi: Highly regarded sort who made winning debut in a 20-runner maiden at the Curragh recently; This obviously much tougher but he created good impression and shrewd yard wouldn’t overface him too soon.
Bea Remembered: Far from disgraced when 3½ lengths fifth to Emperor Claudius in listed race, after having landed his maiden; However this is a lot tougher.
VERDICT: For whatever reason, STEINBECK was awful at Royal Ascot, but he’s worth another chance here, having run well on 3 of his 4 starts.
Jockey Club Of Turkey Meld Stakes (group 3) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner €39,000
Famous Name: High class, strong-travelling horse who scored 3 times in 2009, and was second in Group 1 and 2 company; Has come out on top both starts this term, albeit pushed hard to land odds in this grade over 1m here last time; One to beat although penalty will make life tough once again.
Finnicus: Solid effort when a couple of lengths third to Recharge in a listed race here; More needed here.
Lord High Admiral: Landed 7f Gowran maiden on debut last term, but failed to make impact in sales race/Group 1 after, ending up with good effort here last time; Looks to be pacemaker.
Steinbeck: Encouraging in 2 starts as a juvenile, beating Gold Bubbles and King Ledley by comfortable 2 lengths great effort in the Dewhurst, racing close to the gallop leading all the way and then being unlucky to be on unflavoured rail side; Started off year in great style with staying on fourth in Irish Guineas (hampered) but below par at Royal Ascot, finding himself in front too soon and then getting squeezed up (faded to eighth); No excuses put forward for that but worth another chance.
Vita Venturi: Highly regarded sort who made winning debut in a 20-runner maiden at the Curragh recently; This obviously much tougher but he created good impression and shrewd yard wouldn’t overface him too soon.
Bea Remembered: Far from disgraced when 3½ lengths fifth to Emperor Claudius in listed race, after having landed his maiden; However this is a lot tougher.
VERDICT: For whatever reason, STEINBECK was awful at Royal Ascot, but he’s worth another chance here, having run well on 3 of his 4 starts.
Tryos Stakes 2010
Leopardstown 6.25
Korean Racing Authority Tyros Stakes (group 3) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner €32,500
High Ruler: Justified market confidence at second attempt when winning Roscommon maiden in July, having previously been smashed into last on debut; That win only workmanlike, and Zoffany looks stable first string.
Triple Eight: Improved from debut to make all in maiden at Gowran in May before seeing unsuited by return to 6f in Listed contest at Cork last time; Although she can be forgiven that run, this is a higher grade (although field has cut up).
Created excellent impression in winning 3 of 4 starts, looking outstaning in first 2, finding the hustle and bustle of Coventry too much at Royal Ascot (got badly hampered) already looking much better than that, making smooth work of a win at listed level last time; One to beat.
Jolie Jiconde: Doing her best work at business end of the race on both her starts so far, coming decent second at Roscommon last time; This much harder than both her starts, so lots to do.
VERDICT: With Jolie Jiconde still a maiden, Triple Eight having finished last in listed company, and High Ruler looking like he needs to improve to make a mark in Group company, ZOFFANY is the default selection as he looks a class above this field and is making smooth progress on the way to better things.
Korean Racing Authority Tyros Stakes (group 3) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner €32,500
High Ruler: Justified market confidence at second attempt when winning Roscommon maiden in July, having previously been smashed into last on debut; That win only workmanlike, and Zoffany looks stable first string.
Triple Eight: Improved from debut to make all in maiden at Gowran in May before seeing unsuited by return to 6f in Listed contest at Cork last time; Although she can be forgiven that run, this is a higher grade (although field has cut up).
Created excellent impression in winning 3 of 4 starts, looking outstaning in first 2, finding the hustle and bustle of Coventry too much at Royal Ascot (got badly hampered) already looking much better than that, making smooth work of a win at listed level last time; One to beat.
Jolie Jiconde: Doing her best work at business end of the race on both her starts so far, coming decent second at Roscommon last time; This much harder than both her starts, so lots to do.
VERDICT: With Jolie Jiconde still a maiden, Triple Eight having finished last in listed company, and High Ruler looking like he needs to improve to make a mark in Group company, ZOFFANY is the default selection as he looks a class above this field and is making smooth progress on the way to better things.
Sunday, 18 July 2010
Irish Oaks 2010
Curragh 3.40
Darley Irish Oaks (Fillies' Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO only)
Winner €246,500 - 15 run
Pick: Mezzenah (win)
Akdarena: Performed at a useful level last year but step up in trip and visor have been the making of her this season, leading all the way to hold off 99 rated Unity before routing good field of high class older fillies in Blue Wind Stakes, galloping field into the ground; Unable to do same in Epsom Oaks, fading into sixth, and may have been benefitted by overly generous lead when third last time in Pretty Polly Stakes.
Awe Inspring: Useful filly although she has taken some time to come to hand; Hacked up in Gowran Park race but has been down the field in Oaks at Epsom and Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot since; No reason to think she'll make any greater impact in this.
Brazilan Beauty: Needed drop to 7f and blinkers in order to win a maiden at sixth attempt; This likely to be too much.
Crystal Gal: Hasn’t really progressed as expected from her maiden win first time out and is likely to find this too much based on her form behind Adkerena and Remember When, despit being bred to stay.
Dance On By: Has struggled when tried at listed/Group 3 level and her to make good pace.
Desert Sage: 4th in listed event at Newbury underlines she has plenty to find on form; Not exposed fully and idled when landing Chepstow maiden, so while not impossible outsider in open race, unlikely winner.
Eldalil: Typical Stoute improver who is making rapid strides, coming wide and from the back when well beaten second to Hibaayeb in Ribblesdale at Ascot last time; Can only get better on just fourth start, and hugely encouraging that she comes her off the back of extremely impressive workout.
Hibaayeb: Improved all the time and is still rather unexposed on the basis of her 4 runs as a 2 year old, which included a Fillies’ Mile win on her last start as a 2 year old; Run in 1,000 Guineas can be forgiven and effort in Prix Saint Alary was up to this grade; Romped home in Ribblesdale Stakes and every chance on that form, so well worth her high position at top of market.
Ice Empress: Consistent but at a markedly lower level than this, winning a maiden at tenth attempt at Killarney; Here to ensure pace.
King’s Vintage: Daughter of Vintage Tipple (2003 Irish Oaks winner) but seemingly nowhere near that league based on her win on Tuesday.
Lady Lupus: Pacemaker here as well.
Meezenah: Behind 2 pattern winners on her two juvenile starts and improved no end for step up to 12 furlongs when trashing maiden field by 9 lengths; Stepped up hugely on that when an unlucky second in the Epsom Oaks, having been all at sea on track and meeting trouble in running; May well be helped by likely furious pace here and more galloping track, so huge chance.
Miss Jean Brodie: Built on debut third at Kempton in June to win steadily-run Doncaster maiden; Obviously useful if she’s being put into this race, but worrying that she could be just here on a fact-finding mission.
posted very promising efforts on all her starts, first of all when coming second in strong maiden and then when running a good race on debut to come third behind Chinese White in good listed event; Took form to new level when close fourth in Irish 1,000 Guineas, and maybe built on that again when 3rd in Epsom Oaks, but didn’t seem to stay that day and looked poor when laboured fourth in Pretty Polly last time; Although she was well beaten, she was left with 10 lengths to make up on the breakaway 1-2-3 but still has lot to do.
Snow Fairy: Improved for step up to 10 furlongs when showing impressive turn of foot to land the Height Of Fashion Stakes, beating the previous Oaks hope Pipette; Made mockery of her price when coming with powerful burst under brilliant ride form Ryan Moore to land Oaks, even with troubled passage; Obvious claims although there was only a neck between her and Meezenah and thigns could easily change.
VERDICT: A fascinating Irish Oaks even having had a lot of the interest ripped out of it by the failure of Rosanara (who would have had a great chance given the muddling formlines and her change of speed) to appear. In my mind the Epsom Oaks (predictably) is the race to concentrate on. Snow Fairy had the race set up for her when winning the Oaks and MEZZENAH, from a stronger pace and more galloping track (and less trouble) can overturn positions. Hibbayeb and Eldiaili are also fascinating contenders, especially the former as she has held her own easily in Group 1 company before. If the ground wee to soften, then it would be a fascinating spectacle.
Darley Irish Oaks (Fillies' Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO only)
Winner €246,500 - 15 run
Pick: Mezzenah (win)
Akdarena: Performed at a useful level last year but step up in trip and visor have been the making of her this season, leading all the way to hold off 99 rated Unity before routing good field of high class older fillies in Blue Wind Stakes, galloping field into the ground; Unable to do same in Epsom Oaks, fading into sixth, and may have been benefitted by overly generous lead when third last time in Pretty Polly Stakes.
Awe Inspring: Useful filly although she has taken some time to come to hand; Hacked up in Gowran Park race but has been down the field in Oaks at Epsom and Ribblesdale at Royal Ascot since; No reason to think she'll make any greater impact in this.
Brazilan Beauty: Needed drop to 7f and blinkers in order to win a maiden at sixth attempt; This likely to be too much.
Crystal Gal: Hasn’t really progressed as expected from her maiden win first time out and is likely to find this too much based on her form behind Adkerena and Remember When, despit being bred to stay.
Dance On By: Has struggled when tried at listed/Group 3 level and her to make good pace.
Desert Sage: 4th in listed event at Newbury underlines she has plenty to find on form; Not exposed fully and idled when landing Chepstow maiden, so while not impossible outsider in open race, unlikely winner.
Eldalil: Typical Stoute improver who is making rapid strides, coming wide and from the back when well beaten second to Hibaayeb in Ribblesdale at Ascot last time; Can only get better on just fourth start, and hugely encouraging that she comes her off the back of extremely impressive workout.
Hibaayeb: Improved all the time and is still rather unexposed on the basis of her 4 runs as a 2 year old, which included a Fillies’ Mile win on her last start as a 2 year old; Run in 1,000 Guineas can be forgiven and effort in Prix Saint Alary was up to this grade; Romped home in Ribblesdale Stakes and every chance on that form, so well worth her high position at top of market.
Ice Empress: Consistent but at a markedly lower level than this, winning a maiden at tenth attempt at Killarney; Here to ensure pace.
King’s Vintage: Daughter of Vintage Tipple (2003 Irish Oaks winner) but seemingly nowhere near that league based on her win on Tuesday.
Lady Lupus: Pacemaker here as well.
Meezenah: Behind 2 pattern winners on her two juvenile starts and improved no end for step up to 12 furlongs when trashing maiden field by 9 lengths; Stepped up hugely on that when an unlucky second in the Epsom Oaks, having been all at sea on track and meeting trouble in running; May well be helped by likely furious pace here and more galloping track, so huge chance.
Miss Jean Brodie: Built on debut third at Kempton in June to win steadily-run Doncaster maiden; Obviously useful if she’s being put into this race, but worrying that she could be just here on a fact-finding mission.
posted very promising efforts on all her starts, first of all when coming second in strong maiden and then when running a good race on debut to come third behind Chinese White in good listed event; Took form to new level when close fourth in Irish 1,000 Guineas, and maybe built on that again when 3rd in Epsom Oaks, but didn’t seem to stay that day and looked poor when laboured fourth in Pretty Polly last time; Although she was well beaten, she was left with 10 lengths to make up on the breakaway 1-2-3 but still has lot to do.
Snow Fairy: Improved for step up to 10 furlongs when showing impressive turn of foot to land the Height Of Fashion Stakes, beating the previous Oaks hope Pipette; Made mockery of her price when coming with powerful burst under brilliant ride form Ryan Moore to land Oaks, even with troubled passage; Obvious claims although there was only a neck between her and Meezenah and thigns could easily change.
VERDICT: A fascinating Irish Oaks even having had a lot of the interest ripped out of it by the failure of Rosanara (who would have had a great chance given the muddling formlines and her change of speed) to appear. In my mind the Epsom Oaks (predictably) is the race to concentrate on. Snow Fairy had the race set up for her when winning the Oaks and MEZZENAH, from a stronger pace and more galloping track (and less trouble) can overturn positions. Hibbayeb and Eldiaili are also fascinating contenders, especially the former as she has held her own easily in Group 1 company before. If the ground wee to soften, then it would be a fascinating spectacle.
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